Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 8/28/23

Toronto Blue Jays (71-59) vs Washington Nationals (61-70)

Game Info: Monday, August 28, 2023 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Kevin Gausman (9-8) (3.23) vs Josiah Gray (7-10) (3.85)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -235 / Washington Nationals +210 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Washington Nationals and Toronto Blue Jays face off on Monday in an MLB showdown at the Rogers Centre. 

Nationals Offense Sputtering

The Nationals offense has been inconsistent at best and on Sunday they really struggled again. The offense only managed one goal and that led to the 2-1 defeat at the hands of the Miami Marlins. The Nationals offense is managing 4.37 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.08 runs per game. The offense is ranked 20th while the pitching is ranked 26th. On the mound for the Nationals is Josiah Gray who sits with a 7-10 record and an ERA of 3.85. In his last start against the Yankees he went six innings giving up one hit and one run. 

Nationals Betting Trends

  • The Nationals have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have led after 3 innings in each of their last four Monday night games as road underdogs.

How do the Jays Bounce Back?

The Blue Jays looked like they could secure a victory on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, until they blew the game in extra innings. They couldn’t score in the bottom of the 10th when they only needed a run and in the 11th inning they gave up four runs. The Blue Jays are averaging 4.47 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.05 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th while the pitching is ranked 3rd. On the mound for the Blue Jays is Kevin Gausman who sits with a 9-8 record and an ERA of 3.23. 

Blue Jays Betting Trends

  • The underdogs have won 12 of the last 13 games between the Nationals and Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites following an extra innings loss.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last eight Monday games as home favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have lost the first inning in each of their last three Monday night games as home favorites.

Nationals vs Blue Jays Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (531).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (934).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (994).

Shane’s Free Pick

This game is going to be a low scoring affair by both teams. Gausman has been strong this season and he currently sits with an ERA of 3.23. Gray doesn’t have the best record, but he also has a good ERA of 3.85. Both offenses are going to really struggle against the starting pitchers and that will be the difference as this game is going to be lower scoring. Back the under to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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