Dodgers vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/27/23

Boston Red Sox (69-61) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (79-49)

Game Info: Sunday, August 27, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)

Tanner Houck (3-7) (5.08) vs Caleb Ferguson (7-2) (2.81)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox / Los Angeles Dodgers --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. The Dodgers won the first game in this series by a score of 7-4 on Friday night, but the Red Sox answered with an 8-5 win in Game 2. Who will get the series win here?

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 79-49 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Prior to splitting the first two games in this series, Los Angeles won two out of three games against the Guardians and two out of three against the Marlins. The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in the MLB and they have scored five runs or more in four straight games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers offense has scored 717 runs with a .253 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Mookie Betts is batting .312 with 34 home runs and 90 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Caleb Ferguson, who is 7-3 with a 2.81 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 48 innings pitched this season. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 69-61 this season and they have won three of their last four games. The Red Sox have played well recently, taking the last two games in their series with Houston and splitting the first two games here. The Red Sox have scored 36 runs in their last four games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.37 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .256 opponent batting average this year. The Red Sox offense has scored 650 runs with a .266 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Triston Casas is batting .253 with 20 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 3-7 with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have won 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as underdogs following a home win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last six games as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in four of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have lost each of their last six Sunday games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last three road games against AL East opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Sunday day games as road favorites.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five Sunday games as road favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Alex Verdugo has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox's last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Justin Turner has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox's last four day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Alex Verdugo has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Red Sox's last four games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Rafael Devers has scored a run in each of the Red Sox's last six games against NL opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Adam Duvall has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox's last six home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers' last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Max Muncy has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Dodgers' last seven road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Dodgers' last six games as favorites.
  • Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers' last eight games as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Max Muncy has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers' last eight games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Mookie Betts ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.605) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.266).
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (694).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (717).

Pick

Despite the Red Sox playing well recently, they are still a few games out of the AL Wild Card race, while the Dodgers continue to hold a double-digit game lead in the NL West. Both teams have hit the ball extremely well this season, which explains why the first two games have been so high scoring. Boston is starting Tanner Houck, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three consecutive starts. LA is starting Caleb Ferguson, who will work as an opener. The Red Sox haven’t had much luck winning in Houck’s last few starts, so I am going to take the Dodgers -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Dodgers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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