Astros vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/27/23

Detroit Tigers (59-69) vs Houston Astros (72-58)

Game Info: Sunday, August 27, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Alex Faedo (2-4) (4.91) vs Justin Verlander (9-6) (3.19)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +155 / Houston Astros -182 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astors and Detroit Tigers face off on Sunday in an MLB showdown at Comerica Park. 

Astros Offense Has Been Inconsistent

The name of the game this season for the Astos has been the inconsistency of the bats. On Thursday the Astros only scored a run against the Boston Red Sox and on Friday they followed that up only scoring a run against the Tigers. This is a very talented Astros offense, but too often this season the offense just hasn’t been good enough. The Astros offense overall is averaging 4.85 runs per game which is 8th in baseball. The pitching is giving up 4.33 runs per game which is 12th in baseball. On the mound for the Astros is Justin Verlander who sits with a 9-6 record and an ERA of 3.19.

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The Astros have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Comerica Park against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Astros have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.

Tigers Need Faedo to be Good

Alex Faedo is on the mound for the Tigers and he’s been good the last two games, but they need him to lockdown again in this game. Over Faedo’s last two games he has gone 11 innings and given up only earned runs. Overall Faedo currently sits with a 2-4 record and an ERA of 4.91. The Tigers are averaging 4.0 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.75 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th in baseball and the offense needs to try and give Faedo some run support here. 

Tigers Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last five day games between the Astros and Tigers at Comerica Park.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Comerica Park against AL West opponents that held a winning record.

Astros vs Tigers Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for batting average this season (.235).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.379).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 7th in the league for RBI's this season (620).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 7th in the league for strikeouts this season (1183).

Shane’s Free Pick

This is a great spot to take the Tigers to pick up another win. Faedo has looked good his last two starts, and especially the start two games ago against the Twins. This is going to be a spot where the Astros bats are going to really struggle to get any type of offense going here, and the Tigers will get the job done. Back the Tigers on the money line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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