Rockies vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 8/25/23

Baltimore Orioles (79-48) vs Colorado Rockies (48-79)

Game Info: Friday, August 25, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Cole Irvin (1-3) (4.66) vs Kyle Freeland (5-13) (5.02)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -180 / Colorado Rockies +150 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Rockies will play the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of their series on Friday night at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland. Baltimore has been able to maintain their lead in the AL East over the last couple of weeks, but the Rays are only a couple of games back currently. Can the Orioles take advantage of a Colorado team that has one of the worst records in the NL?

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 48-79 this season and they have lost 11 of their last 14 games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss to the Rays, where they lost all three games. The Rockies have allowed 33 runs in their last four games and have a very elevated team ERA. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.57 ERA, a 1.51 WHIP, and a .283 opponent batting average this year. The Rockies offense has scored 559 runs with a .250 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .252 with 21 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 5-13 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 129 innings pitched this season.

Orioles Preview

The Baltimore Orioles are 79-48 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Baltimore is coming off of a series win against Toronto, where they won two out of three games. The Orioles offense has been clicking on all cylinders lately, scoring five runs or more in five of their last six games. The Baltimore pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Orioles offense has scored 627 runs with a .254 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this season. Gunnar Henderson is batting .248 with 21 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Orioles. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Cole Irvin, who is 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP over 58.0 innings pithed this year. 

Baltimore Orioles Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Orioles' last three games.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three games as favorites against NL West opponents.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards against NL West opponents that held a losing record.

Colorado Rockies Team Facts

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have failed to cover the run line five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have led after 7 innings in six of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road night games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rockies' last three night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts

  • Anthony Santander has hit at least one home run in each of the Orioles' last two home games.
  • Adley Rutschman has recorded an RBI in five of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Gunnar Henderson has scored at least one run in each of the Orioles' last four games as favorites.
  • James McCann has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last three appearances against NL opponents at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Gunnar Henderson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Orioles' last eight night games.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
  • Elias Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
  • Ryan McMahon has scored at least one run in six of the Rockies' last seven games.
  • Kyle Freeland has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances with the Rockies as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies' last eight games against AL opponents.
  • Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one total base in each of the Rockies' last seven games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 8th in the league for runs scored this season (627).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 8th in the league for RBI's this season (608).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1229).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 29th in the league for steals this season (49).

Pick

Baltimore comes into this series looking to continue their strong play and keep their slim lead in the AL East. Colorado is last in the NL West and is 30 games out of first place, which is the second biggest gap across all of the divisions. Colorado is starting Kyle Freeland, who has allowed four earned runs in three of his last four starts. Baltimore is starting Cole Irvin, who has allowed one earned run in his last 14 innings of work. Irvin has been surprisingly effective over his last few outings and he will face a Colorado team that really struggles to hit the ball. I like the Orioles to get the win and I am going to take them to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Orioles -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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