Cardinals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/25/23

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have won each of their last six games against the Cardinals at Citizens Bank Park following a loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
• The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
• The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five games at Citizens Bank Park.

St. Louis Cardinals Team Facts

• The Cardinals have lost each of their last six games against the Phillies following a road win.
• The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents.
• The Cardinals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last five Friday night games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of the Phillies' last three games as home favorites.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cardinals.
• Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in six of the Phillies' last seven games.
• Bryce Harper has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Cardinals.
• Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.
• Bryce Harper ranks 8th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.392) this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Player Prop Facts

• Nolan Arenado has hit at least one home run in three of the Cardinals' last four games at Citizens Bank Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Miles Mikolas has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Cardinals as road underdogs.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cardinals' last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nolan Arenado has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cardinals' last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Nolan Arenado has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Willson Contreras has recorded at least one hit in 10 of his last 11 appearances in night games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 7th in the league for batting average this season (.258).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T8th in the league for hits this season (1126).
• The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (1213).
• The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (1007).

Pick

Philadelphia will look to get another series win this weekend against a St. Louis team that is only 28-35 on the road this year. The Phillies are 36-25 at home and they are currently leading the NL Wild Card chase. Philadelphia is starting Cristopher Sanchez, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The Cardinals are going with Miles Mikolas, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last two starts (11 IP). Mikolas has had a very inconsistent season, but he has done a great job of eating innings to protect that Cardinals bullpen. All of the signs point to the Phillies in this game, but they are not very big favorites. That part does worry me, but I am going to stick with Philadelphia here.