Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/24/23

Cleveland Guardians (60-66) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (76-48)

Game Info: Thursday, August 24, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Gavin Williams (1-4) (3.02) vs Ryan Pepiot (0-0) (1.80)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +105 / Los Angeles Dodgers -125 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Thursday afternoon at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. These two teams had their game on Wednesday suspended in the second inning, so they will continue that game at 12:10am Eastern time, before starting Game 3. Cleveland did win the first game in this series by a score of 8-3 on Tuesday night.

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 76-48 this season and they have won 13 of their last 15 games. The Dodgers are absolutely running away with the NL West, as they have a double-digit game lead on the Giants and Diamondbacks. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.22 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this year. The Dodgers offense has scored 690 runs with a .251 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Mookie Betts is batting .300 with 34 home runs and 86 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Ryan Pepiot, who is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.80 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season.

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 60-66 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Cleveland did get a huge win in the first game in this series, but they are still a ways out in the AL Central. The Guardians have scored three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 508 runs with a .249 batting average and a .311 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez is batting .280 with 18 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 1-4 with a 3.02 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 59.2 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have lost eight of their last nine home games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against NL West opponents following a home win.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five home games.
  • The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last four games against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have won 22 of their last 23 Thursday day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last three day games.
  • The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks T1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (129).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks T1st in the league for runs allowed this season (508).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (690).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for RBI's this season (668).

Pick

These two teams are basically playing a double header today and Cleveland could really use two big wins here. Los Angeles has lost two of their last four games, but the Cleveland offense is nothing to be worried about. LA is starting Ryan Pepiot, who has only made one start for the Dodgers this year. Cleveland is starting Gavin Williams, who has allowed six earned runs in his last five starts (26 IP). Williams ran into some issues against the Tigers last time out, which doesn’t give me a ton of confidence against one of the best lineups in baseball. Take the Dodgers here. 

David’s Pick Dodgers ML

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