Marlins vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 8/23/23

San Diego Padres (60-66) vs Miami Marlins (64-62)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 23, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Petco Park)

Seth Lugo (4-6) (3.96) vs Sandy Alcantara (6-10) (4.16)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres -130 / Miami Marlins +110 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The San Diego Padres will host the Miami Marlins for their series finale this Wednesday from PETCO Park. San Diego jumped out to an early lead and didn’t look back in game one to win by four, 6-2.

Marlins Preview & Projected Starter

Miami moved to 65-62 after defeating San Diego. The Marlins snapped a three-game skid with the win last night, and they’ll look to leave Cali with a series win here Wednesday. The Miami offense is scoring 4.02 runs per game, while batting .260, with a .321 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.10 ERA, with a 1.27 WHIP. 

Sandy Alcantara (6-10, 4.11 ERA, 135 Ks) will take the mound for Miami. The reigning NL Cy Young winner followed up his complete game gem by holding his own in LA last week, striking out six thru six innings to earn his sixth victory of the season. Alcantara has turned things around since the beginning of July, holding clubs to three runs or less in six of his last eight starts. Alcantara has also cleared seven strikeouts in four of his last six appearances, and he’ll attempt to double down on Southern California here. 

Marlins Player Trends & Props

Luis Arraez has collected a hit in eight of the last ten games, and he’s leading the majors in batting (.356) and hits (167), with 58 RBI. 

Jorge Soler homered in the game two win, and he leads Miami in home runs (33) and RBI (68).

Jake Burger brings a 13-game hit streak into the series finale, and he’s batting .366 with the Marlins, while totaling 27 home runs and 63 RBI for the season.

Bryan De La Cruz has produced a run in three of the last six games, and he’s second on the team in both homers (16) and 63 runs batted in.

 

Padres Preview & Projected Starter 

San Diego moved to 60-67 after falling to Miami. The Padres were silenced on their home field last night, and they’ll look for better results here in game three. The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .228, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.76 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP. 

Seth Lugo (4-6, 3.92 ERA, 99 Ks) is set to start for San Diego. The eighth-year righty pitched well in division action against Arizona last time out, tying a season-high with nine strikeouts thru six scoreless frames en route to a Pads win. Lugo has been pretty reliable over the past six weeks, aside from a blown home spot against the potent Dodgers, and he’s held teams to two runs or less in six of his last eight starts. 

Padres Player Trends & Props

Juan Soto has reached base in five of the last seven games, and he leads the Padres in home runs (24) and RBI (75), with 115 hits.

Manny Machado went yard in the game one win, and he’s second in the team in homers (24) and RBI (74). 

Fernando Tatis is hitless through his last four games, so he may be due soon, and he’s posting of .264/20/65. 

Xander Bogaerts has collected a hit in six of the last ten games, and he leads the Pads in hits (121), while batting .265.   

Ha-Seong Kim doubled and homered in the game one victory, and he leads SD in batting (.282), with 17 homers and 49 RBI.

 

Corey’s Free Pick 

Miami bounced back last night, and they have a great chance of leaving the Golden State with a series win here. Sandy Alcantara has looked like old self over the past month of action, and he has a good chance to keep the Marlins in this game. Testing the profitable play with Miami is worth a shot here, BUT with the total in a manageable spot, and this being the end of a six-game road trip for the visitors, the magic number brings a bit more security here. Back the Over for this series finale.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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