Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/23/23

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

• The Guardians have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents following a home win.
• The Guardians have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last eight night games against NL West opponents.
• The Guardians have lost the first inning in each of their last three home games.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

• The Dodgers have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Dodgers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites following a loss.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last five games as road favorites against American League opponents.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL West opponents.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
• Andres Gimenez has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances against the Dodgers.
• Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians' last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

• Will Smith has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers' last two night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Mookie Betts has recorded two hits in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
• Will Smith has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Dodgers' last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Clayton Kershaw has recorded six or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 20 appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against AL opponents.
• Mookie Betts has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Dodgers' last six road games against AL Central opponents.
• Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of his last six road appearances against the Guardians.
• Freddie Freeman ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.410) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (474).
• The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.378).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (690).
• The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for RBI's this season (668).

Pick

Cleveland was able to get a huge win in the first game of this series and they will look to make it two in a row here, but the Dodgers come into this game as a fairly large favorite. Los Angeles is one of the best teams in all of baseball, but they haven’t hit the ball very well recently and have lost two of their last four games. Cleveland is starting Xzavion Curry, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. LA is starting Clayton Kershaw, who has allowed two earned runs in his last four starts (23 IP). I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here and I like the under.