Cubs vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/23/23

Detroit Tigers (58-68) vs Chicago Cubs (65-60)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 23, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Comerica Park)

Tarik Skubal (3-2) (3.76) vs Jameson Taillon (7-8) (5.56)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers -115 / Chicago Cubs -105 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday afternoon at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 7-6, but Detroit responded with an 8-6 win on Tuesday night. Which team will get the series win here?

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 65-60 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three games against the Royals and will look to do the same to the Tigers in this matchup. The Cubs offense has played well in the first two games of this series and they have scored at least six runs in three of their last four games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Cubs offense has scored 630 runs with a .254 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner is batting .277 with nine home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 7-8 with a 5.56 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 110 innings pitched this season.

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 58-68 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Detroit has played well in their last two series, where they split with the Twins and took three of four from the Guardians. The Tigers have scored four runs or more in six of their last seven games, which is saying a lot for the second least scoring team in baseball. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 504 runs with a .236 batting average and a .301 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson is batting .237 with 23 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 3-2 with a 3.76 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 38.1 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against NL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line seven of their last eight home games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last four games as home favorites.

Chicago Cubs Team Facts

  • The Cubs have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of the Tigers' last four games.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers' last four games against NL opponents at Comerica Park.
  • Spencer Torkelson has scored at least one run in nine of the Tigers' last 10 games.
  • Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his 14 previous appearances with the Tigers as home favorites.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Tigers.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Cubs' last six games as underdogs.
  • Seiya Suzuki has scored at least one run in each of his six previous road appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cubs' last three games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last six road games.
  • Nico Hoerner ranks 7th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for steals this season (56).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.381).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks T5th in the league for RBI's this season (604).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks T5th in the league for walks this season (445).

Pick

The Tigers had a nice bounce back win on Tuesday night and their offense has really started to click over the last few games. On the flip side, Chicago could really use a series win in this matchup, as they continue to fight the Brewers and Reds in the NL Central. The Cubs are starting Jameson Taillon, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Detroit is starting Tarik Skubal, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts. Skubal has pitched much better at home than he has on the road, but will face a very good Cubs lineup here. This should be a good game, but I am going to take the Cubs, as I think their hitting advantage will be the difference here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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