Mets vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 8/22/23

Atlanta Braves (80-44) vs New York Mets (59-67)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 22, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Bryce Elder (9-4) (3.46) vs Tylor Megill (7-6) (5.53)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -230 / New York Mets +190 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. New York won the first game in this series by a score of 10-4, but they have lost eight of their eleven games against the Braves this year. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 59-67 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, New York won three out of four games against the Cardinals. The Mets have hit the ball very well recently, scoring 10, 3, 13, 7, 4, and 8 runs in their last six games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.48 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this season. The Mets offense has scored 563 runs with a .239 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .226 with 39 home runs and 95 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Tylor Megill, who is 7-6 with a 5.53 ERA and a 1.70 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this year. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 80-44 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Prior to this series, Atlanta won two out of three games at home against the Giants. The Braves have played great this season and this is the first time they have lost back to back games in 14 games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 719 runs with a .274 batting average and a .344 on base percentage this year. Ronald Acuna is batting .332 with 28 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Bryce Elder, who is 9-4 with a 3.46 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 138 innings pitched this season.

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won each of their last 10 Tuesday night home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven Tuesday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last five Tuesday night games.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games at Truist Park following a win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games at Truist Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last five Tuesday night games at Truist Park.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last 10 Tuesday night games as road underdogs.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Eddie Rosario has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances at Truist Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last five games against the Mets at Truist Park.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Braves' last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 18 of the Braves' last 19 home games against NL opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded two or more hits in each of the Braves' last five games against the Mets at Truist Park.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (56) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in each of the Mets' last two games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two hits in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Tylor Megill has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his four previous road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mets' last six games against NL opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has scored a run in each of the Mets' last six games against NL opponents.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last five road games against NL East opponents.
  • Pete Alonso ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.535) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for RBI's this season (694).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for batting average this season (.274).
  • The New York Mets ranks 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (997).
  • The New York Mets ranks 24th in the league for hits this season (997).

Pick

The Braves come into this game as heavy favorites to win, but they did get blown out on Monday night. The Braves have a huge lead in the NL East, while New York is eight games below .500. Atlanta is starting Bryce Elder, who has allowed 0, 5, and 5 earned runs in his last three starts. New York is starting Tylor Megill, who has allowed 2, 5, 5, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. The Mets have found some success in their last few series, but Atlanta has the pitching advantage in this game. I am going to take the Braves to bounce back and win this game by two runs. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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