Dodgers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/22/23

Cleveland Guardians (59-66) vs Los Angeles Dodgers (76-47)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 22, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Noah Syndergaard (2-6) (6.57) vs Bobby Miller (7-2) (3.70)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +180 / Los Angeles Dodgers -218 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Los Angeles Dodgers will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 1 of their series on Tuesday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Cleveland hasn’t won a series in weeks and is just about out of the AL Central race, while Los Angeles has opened up a double-digit lead in the NL West. 

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 76-47 this season and they have won 13 of their last 14 games. Los Angeles is coming off of a series win against the Marlins, where they won two out of three games. The Dodgers have played incredibly well over the last couple of months and they have allowed one run or fewer in four of their last five games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average this season. The Dodgers offense has scored 687 runs with a .251 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Freddie Freeman is batting .333 with 23 home runs and 83 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Bobby Miller, who is 7-2 with a 3.70 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 75.1 innings pitched this year. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 59-66 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Cleveland is coming off of a series loss to the Tigers, where they lost three out of four games. The Guardians have either tied or lost each of their last seven series. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 500 runs with a .249 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .281 with 18 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Noah Syndergaard, who is 2-6 with a 6.57 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 76.2 innings pitched this season.

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last seven night games against NL West opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games.
  • The Guardians have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last six games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last four games as road favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last six games as road favorites against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Kole Calhoun has hit a home run in five of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL West opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians' last four games against NL West opponents.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded two or more total bases in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in five of the Guardians' last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Noah Syndergaard has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his nine previous appearances with his team as an underdog against NL West opponents.
  • Kole Calhoun has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers' last four road games against AL opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances.
  • Freddie Freeman has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers' last six road games against AL opponents.
  • J.D. Martinez has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous road appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
  • Freddie Freeman ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.411) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (466).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.377).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (687).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for RBI's this season (665).

Pick

The Guardians limp into this series in desperate need of a series win, but they will be playing one of the best teams in baseball here. Los Angeles has won 13 of their last 14 games and 17 of their last 19. LA is starting Bobby Miller, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 15.2 innings pitched. Cleveland is starting Noah Syndergaard, who has allowed 5, 1, 5, and 1 earned run in four starts for the Guardians. There is no chance I can back the Guardians in this game with how poorly they have been playing. Even though the Dodgers haven’t been great on the road, I like them to win by at least two runs. 

David’s Pick Dodgers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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