Mets vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 8/21/23

Atlanta Braves (80-43) vs New York Mets (58-67)

Game Info: Monday, August 21, 2023 at 7:20 pm (Truist Park)

Allan Winans (1-0) (1.59) vs David Peterson (3-7) (5.45)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves / New York Mets --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Truist Field in Atlanta, Georgia. The Braves did have their winning streak snapped on Sunday, but they have been the best team in the MLB for a couple of months now. New York also lost their winning streak on Sunday and will try to bounce back here. 

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 58-67 this season and they have won four of their last five games. New York is coming off of a series win against the Cardinals, where they won three out of four games. The Mets have played well in recent games and they have scored at least four runs in seven of their last eight games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .250 opponent batting average this year. The Mets offense has scored 553 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .224 with 39 home runs and 94 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 3-7 with a 5.45 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over 72.2 innings pitched this season.

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 80-43 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Atlanta is coming off of a series win against the Giants, where they won two out of three games. The Braves have played incredible baseball over the last couple of weeks, going 10-3 in their last 13 games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 715 runs with a .274 batting average and a .344 on base percentage this season. Ronald Acuna is batting .331 with 28 home runs and 74 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Allan Winans, who is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 11.1 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won each of their last seven home games against the Mets.
  • The Braves have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Truist Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost each of their last seven games at Truist Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against the Braves at Truist Park.
  • The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Austin Riley has hit a home run in three of the Braves' last five games as favorites against the Mets.
  • Matt Olson has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Braves' last six games at Truist Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 17 of the Braves' last 18 home games against NL opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves' last four games against the Mets at Truist Park.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (56) this season.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit a home run in four of the Mets' last five games.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Mets' last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Jeff McNeil has scored a run in seven of the Mets' last eight road games against the Braves.
  • Brandon Nimmo has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Daniel Vogelbach has recorded at least one hit in each of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Pete Alonso ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.536) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for RBI's this season (690).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for batting average this season (.274).
  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for hits this season (983).
  • The New York Mets ranks 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (987).

Pick

Atlanta comes into this series playing great and they lead the season series with the Mets, winning eight of the ten games so far. The Braves are 42-21 at home this year, while New York is 27-39 on the road. The Mets have played better in their last couple of series, but can they keep up with this high scoring Atlanta lineup? New York is starting David Peterson, who has allowed three earned runs in his last 14.1 innings pitched. Atlanta is starting Allan Winans, who has allowed two earned runs in 11.1 innings this year. Winans did throw seven shutout innings against the Mets last weekend. I like the Braves -1.5 in this game. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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