Cubs vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/21/23

Detroit Tigers (57-67) vs Chicago Cubs (64-59)

Game Info: Monday, August 21, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Comerica Park)

Alex Faedo (2-4) (5.16) vs Javier Assad (2-2) (3.11)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +110 / Chicago Cubs -130 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of their series on Monday night at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Detroit is coming off of an impressive series win in Cleveland, while Chicago was able to handle the Royals at home. 

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 64-59 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Chicago is coming off of a series win against Kansas City, where they won two out of three games. The Cubs were able to get the series win against the Royals, but they are still three games behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average this season. The Cubs offense has scored 617 runs with a .254 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Cody Bellinger is batting .324 with 20 home runs and 64 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Javier Assad, who is 2-2 with a 3.11 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 66.2 innings pitched this year. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 57-67 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the Guardians, where they won three out of four games. The Tigers are trying to make a late push in the AL Central and they are only 1.5 games behind Cleveland, but they are still 7.5 games behind the Twins for first place. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.42 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 490 runs with a .235 batting average and a .300 on base percentage this year. Spencer Torkelson is batting .233 with 22 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Alex Faedo, who is 2-4 with a 5.16 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 45.1 innings pitched this season.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games.

Chicago Cubs Team Facts

  • The Cubs have won each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Tigers.
  • The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Tigers.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last six games as favorites.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit at least one home run in each of the Tigers' last two games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Tigers' last five games.
  • Riley Greene has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Riley Greene has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances against NL opponents.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Tigers.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs' last four road games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs' last six road games against AL opponents.
  • Nico Hoerner has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cubs' last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
  • Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nico Hoerner ranks 7th in the league in Steals (32) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (472).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for steals this season (55).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks 5th in the league for runs scored this season (617).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks 5th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.331).

Pick

The Cubs come into this game battling for the NL Central, but they are only 29-29 on the road and will be playing a Tigers team that has played well recently. Detroit just delivered a knockout blow to the Guardians over the weekend and should have plenty of momentum coming into this game. The Tigers are starting Alex Faedo, who has allowed three earned runs over his last 15.2 innings pitched. The Cubs are starting Javier Assad, who has allowed five earned runs in his last 20.2 innings. The Tigers are playing well right now and I am going to take a chance on them as a home underdog. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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