Tigers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/20/23

Cleveland Guardians (59-65) vs Detroit Tigers (56-67)

Game Info: Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 1:40 pm (Progressive Field)

Logan Allen (6-5) (3.33) vs Eduardo Rodriguez (8-6) (3.13)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -120 / Detroit Tigers +100 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Tigers will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 4 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Detroit has won two of the first three games in this series by scores of 4-2 and 4-3, while Cleveland won Game 2 of the doubleheader on Friday by a score of 4-1. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 56-67 this season and they have won three of their last four games. The Tigers came into this series after splitting a two game set with the Twins and they have been pretty competitive over the last two weeks. Detroit is probably out of the AL Central race, as they are 7.5 games behind the Twins. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.44 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average this year. The Tigers offense has scored 486 runs with a .235 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Spencer Torkelson is batting .232 with 21 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 8-6 with a 3.13 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 106.1 innings pitched this season.

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 59-65 this season and they have lost five of their last eight games. The Guardians really needed to take advantage of this series, but they are just hoping to come away with a series split in this game. Cleveland has only scored 3, 4, 2, 2, and 3 runs in their last five games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 499 runs with a .250 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez is batting .283 with 18 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 6-5 with a 3.33 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 97.1 innings pitched this year. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Tigers following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won six of their last eight games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last seven Sunday games at Progressive Field.
  • The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Kole Calhoun has hit a home run in four of his last eight home appearances against the Tigers.
  • Kole Calhoun has scored a run in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Kole Calhoun has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against AL Central opponents.
  • Kole Calhoun has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents at Progressive Field.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers' last four Sunday games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in five of his six previous appearances against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
  • Javier Baez has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Javier Baez has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Eduardo Rodriguez has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
  • Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances against the Guardians.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (465).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (126).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (468).

Pick

Cleveland comes into this game looking for the series split, while Detroit is looking for their first series win in over a week. The Tigers have been fairly competitive over the last few months and if they didn’t start the season so poorly, they would be right in the AL Central race. Cleveland is in the AL Central race, but they are fading quickly. The Guardians are starting Logan Allen, who has allowed three earned runs in his last 17 innings of work. The Tigers are starting Eduardo Rodriguez, who has allowed 6, 0, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. Logan Allen has been very solid in his last three starts, while Rodriguez has been a little shaky since the trade deadline. Take the Guardians here. 

David’s Pick Guardians ML

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