Red Sox vs Yankees Prediction - MLB Picks 8/20/23

New York Yankees (60-63) vs Boston Red Sox (65-58)

Game Info: Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Clarke Schmidt (8-7) (4.76) vs Josh Winckowski (2-0) (3.20)

Betting Odds: New York Yankees / Boston Red Sox --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox will play the New York Yankees in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Yankee Stadium in New York. The Yankees have continued their downfall in this series, while Boston is surging in the AL Wild Card race. Boston won the first two games in this series by scores of 8-3 and 8-1. 

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 65-58 this season and they have won seven of their last ten games. Prior to dominating the first two games in this series, Boston lost two out of three games in Washington against the Nationals. The Red Sox offense has been clicking lately, as they have scored five runs or more in six of their last eight games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a .254 opponent batting average this season. The Red Sox offense has scored 601 runs with a .262 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Justin Turner is batting .286 with 19 home runs and 75 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Josh Winckowski, who is 3-1 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this year. 

Yankees Preview

The New York Yankees are 60-63 this season and they have lost seven games in a row. The Yankees are in a downward spiral right now, as they have lost seven in a row to Boston, Atlanta, and Miami. The Yankees have been outscored by a total of 24-7 in their last five games. The New York pitching staff has a 4.09 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Yankees offense has scored 518 runs with a .230 batting average and a .305 on base percentage this year. Gleyber Torres is batting .265 with 18 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Yankees. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Clarke Schmidt, who is 8-7 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 117.1 innings pitched this season.

New York Yankees Team Facts

  • The Yankees have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
  • The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Yankees' last four games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games.
  • The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Yankees.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last six day games against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 11 games as underdogs.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs against AL East opponents.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

  • Gleyber Torres has hit a home run in three of the Yankees' last four day games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Giancarlo Stanton has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
  • Aaron Judge has scored a run in each of the Yankees' last five games as favorites.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one total base in each of his 10 previous Sunday day appearances with the Yankees as favorites.
  • Harrison Bader has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous Sunday day appearances with the Yankees as favorites.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Urias has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two or more hits in each of the Red Sox's last five road games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox's last four road games against AL East opponents.
  • Masataka Yoshida has scored a run in each of his last four appearances against the Yankees.
  • Rafael Devers has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Red Sox's last nine day games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Yankees ranks 29th in the league for hits this season (925).
  • The New York Yankees ranks 29th in the league for batting average this season (.230).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks T4th in the league for walks allowed this season (349).

Pick

Boston comes into this game looking for the series sweep, as they take advantage of a Yankees team that is not playing well right now. The Red Sox are only a couple of games back in the Wild Card chase, but they are only 30-30 on the road. Boston is starting Josh Winckowski, who allowed three earned runs in 0.2 innings in his last appearance. New York is starting Clarke Schmidt, who has allowed 8, 1, 2, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Schmidt did get roughed up by the Braves last time out, but he has been serviceable this year. Take the Yankees to snap their losing streak here. 

David’s Pick Yankees ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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