Giants vs Braves Prediction - MLB Picks 8/20/23

Atlanta Braves (80-42) vs San Francisco Giants (64-59)

Game Info: Sunday, August 20, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Truist Park)

Max Fried (4-1) (2.57) vs Jakob Junis (3-3) (4.10)

Betting Odds: Atlanta Braves -225 / San Francisco Giants +202 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Francisco Giants will play the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Truist Park in Atlanta, Georgia. Atlanta has won the first two games in this series by scores of 4-0 and 6-5. San Francisco has really struggled over the last two weeks and they desperately need to avoid the sweep in this matchup. 

Giants Preview

The San Francisco Giants are 64-59 this season and they have lost eight of their last ten games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, San Francisco lost two out of three games to Tampa Bay, Texas, and the Angels. The Giants have been out scored by a total of 37-21 in their last seven games. The San Francisco pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average this year. The Giants offense has scored 531 runs with a .238 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. LaMonte Wade is batting .259 with 12 home runs and 34 RBI’s for the Giants. The projected starting pitcher for San Francisco is Jakob Junis, who is 3-3 with a 4.10 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 68 innings pitched this season. 

Braves Preview

The Atlanta Braves are 80-42 this season and they have won eight of their last nine games. Atlanta is on an absolute roll right now and they have only allowed eight runs in their last five games. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 712 runs with a .274 batting average and a .345 on base percentage this season. Matt Olson is batting .271 with 43 home runs and 108 RBI’s for the Braves. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Max Fried, who is 4-1 with a 2.57 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 42.0 innings pitched this year. 

Atlanta Braves Team Facts

  • The Braves have won each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against the Giants following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Braves' last four home games against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against NL West opponents.

San Francisco Giants Team Facts

  • The Giants have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
  • The Giants have covered the run line in each of their last six games at Truist Park following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Giants' last three games.

Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts

  • Matt Olson has hit at least one home run in six of the Braves' last seven day games.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Braves' last six day games.
  • Max Fried has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in 16 of the Braves' last 17 home games against NL opponents.
  • Orlando Arcia has recorded at least one total base in each of the Braves' last nine day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves' last 16 games against NL opponents.
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. ranks 1st in the league in Steals (55) this season.

San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Wilmer Flores has hit at least one home run in five of his last nine appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded two or more total bases in eight of his last 12 appearances in day games.
  • Thairo Estrada has scored at least one run in three of his last four appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Wilmer Flores has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for RBI's this season (688).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for batting average this season (.274).
  • The San Francisco Giants ranks 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (311).
  • The San Francisco Giants ranks 27th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1157).

Pick

The Braves continue to be the best team in baseball and they play their best at home. On the other side, San Francisco is only 29-31 on the road this season and they will have Jakob Junis on the mound, who has allowed one earned run in his last 11.2 innings pitched. Junis has been used as a starter and a relief pitcher, but won’t pitch very deep into this game. Atlanta is starting Max Fried, who has allowed six earned runs in three starts since coming off of the IL (16 IP). It is very tough to pick against this Atlanta team right now, especially with how poorly the Giants have played. Take Atlanta -1.5 in this matchup. 

David’s Pick Braves -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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