Tigers vs Guardians Prediction - MLB Picks 8/19/23

Cleveland Guardians (59-64) vs Detroit Tigers (55-67)

Game Info: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)

Tanner Bibee (9-2) (2.90) vs Matt Manning (4-4) (4.60)

Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians -162 / Detroit Tigers +136 --- Over/Under: 7.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Tigers will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Saturday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. These two teams split a doubleheader on Friday, with Detroit winning Game 1 by a score of 4-2 and Cleveland winning Game 2 by a score of 4-1.

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 55-67 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Detroit came into this series after splitting a two game series with the Twins in Minnesota. The Tigers have played extremely inconsistently this year, but they have hit the ball much better as the season has progressed. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.46 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average this season. The Tigers offense has scored 482 runs with a .235 batting average and a .300 on base percentage. Spencer Torkelson is batting .229 with 21 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Matt Manning, who is 4-4 with a 4.60 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP over 58.2 innings pitched this year. 

Guardians Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 59-64 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Cleveland is coming off of a series split with the Reds, where they won one game and lost one game in Cincinnati. The Guardians are still a ways behind the Twins and they really need to start making their move if they want to catch them. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 496 runs with a .250 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this year. Jose Ramirez is batting .286 with 18 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 9-2 with a 2.90 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this season. 

Cleveland Guardians Team Facts

  • The Guardians have lost each of their last three games as favorites against the Tigers following a home win.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six games against American League opponents after playing the previous day.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Guardians following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line nine of their last 10 night games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Tigers' last five Saturday games.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have led after 7 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Ramon Laureano has hit a home run in three of his last 11 appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Myles Straw has scored at least one run in three of the Guardians' last four night games.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Guardians' last six Saturday night games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Myles Straw has recorded two hits in two of his last three appearances after playing the previous day.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in seven of his last 14 appearances with the Tigers as road underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Javier Baez has scored at least one run in each of his last five road appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in four of his five previous appearances against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
  • Matt Manning has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Miguel Cabrera has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
  • Miguel Cabrera has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (463).
  • The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (124).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (464).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.378).

Pick

These two teams split the doubleheader on Friday, but Cleveland really needs to win today and tomorrow to start closing the gap with the Twins. Detroit looks to be starting Matt Manning, after his start was pushed back from Friday to today. Manning has allowed 17 earned runs in his last four starts (22 IP). Cleveland is starting Tanner Bibee, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Bibee is on a great run right now and he has only allowed four earned runs in his last 19 innings. Take the Guardians here. 

David’s Pick Guardians ML

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