Mariners vs Astros Prediction - MLB Picks 8/19/23

Houston Astros (70-53) vs Seattle Mariners (67-55)

Game Info: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Minute Maid Park)

Framber Valdez (9-8) (3.31) vs Logan Gilbert (10-5) (3.80)

Betting Odds: Houston Astros -148 / Seattle Mariners +124 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Seattle Mariners will play the Houston Astros in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Minute Maid Park in Houston, Texas. Seattle won the first game in this series by a score of 2-0 on Friday night and they are slowly catching up to the Rangers and Astros in the AL West. 

Mariners Preview

The Seattle Mariners are 67-55 this season and they have won four games in a row. Seattle is coming off of a series win against the Royals, where they won three out of four games. The Mariners have played great baseball recently, winning 12 of their last 15 games. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this season. The Mariners offense has scored 561 runs with a .238 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Julio Rodriguez is batting .274 with 21 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Mariners. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 10-5 with a 3.80 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP over 142 innings pitched this year. 

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 70-53 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series win against Miami, where they won two out of three games. The Astros offense has been inconsistent of late, scoring 0, 12, 6, 1, and 1 run in their last five games. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.77 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Astros offense has scored 599 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on base percentage this year. Kyle Tucker is batting .297 with 24 home runs and 92 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Framber Valdez, who is 9-8 with a 3.31 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 149.2 innings pitched this season. 

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have won 25 of their last 26 games as home favorites against AL West opponents following a loss.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last seven games at Minute Maid Park.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last seven games as favorites against American League opponents.

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

  • The Mariners have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games against American League opponents.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Saturday night appearances with the Astros as favorites.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six Saturday appearances with the Astros as favorites.
  • Jose Altuve has scored at least one run in each of his last eight Saturday appearances with the Astros as favorites.
  • Framber Valdez has recorded seven or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 appearances with the Astros as home favorites against AL West opponents.
  • Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Mariners' last two road games against AL opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Mariners' last six games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Logan Gilbert has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
  • Julio Rodriguez has scored at least one run in four of the Mariners' last five night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners' last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Eugenio Suarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners' last seven games as underdogs against AL opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Houston Astros ranks T26th in the league for triples this season (10).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 6th in the league for runs scored this season (599).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1210).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.70).

Pick

Houston pitched very well in Game 1 of this series and only allowed two runs, but their bats went cold and they were shutout for the loss. Seattle is 33-27 on the road this year, while Houston is 33-27 at home. Houston is starting Framber Valdez, who has allowed 3, 6, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. Seattle is starting Logan Gilbert, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Valdez has been very hit or miss lately and you really don’t know what you are going to get with him, so I am going to take the Mariners with the plus money. 

David’s Pick Mariners ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss