Brewers vs Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/17/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (73-46) vs Milwaukee Brewers (65-56)

Game Info: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Lance Lynn (9-9) (5.88) vs Corbin Burnes (9-6) (3.60)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -142 / Milwaukee Brewers +120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 3 of their series on Thursday night at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Los Angeles has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-2 and 7-1. The Dodgers continue to run away with the NL West, while the Brewers have a slim lead in the NL Central. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 65-56 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Prior to losing the first two games in this series, Milwaukee won all three games in their series with the White Sox on the road. The Brewers scored 17 runs in three games against Chicago, but they have only scored the three runs in the first two games of this series. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Brewers offense has scored 516 runs with a .232 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Christian Yelich is batting .287 with 16 home runs and 66 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Corbin Burnes, who is 9-6 with a 3.60 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 145 innings pitched this season. 

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 73-46 this season and they have won ten games in a row. Los Angeles is playing great baseball right now and they have won five series in a row. The Dodgers offense is very dangerous, scoring six runs or more in four of their last six games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Dodgers offense has scored 677 runs with a .253 batting average and a .339 on base percentage this season. Freddie Freeman is batting .337 with 23 home runs and 83 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Lance Lynn, who is 9-9 with a 5.88 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 137.2 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 games against National League opponents.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last nine night games at Dodger Stadium following a home win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last eight games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • The Dodgers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last seven games at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Dodgers following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last four night games at Dodger Stadium.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Freddie Freeman ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.414) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for runs scored this season (677).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 3rd in the league for RBI's this season (655).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (929).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 28th in the league for batting average this season (.232).

Pick

The Dodgers have cruised to two straight victories and they are on a ten game winning streak, but they are only a small favorite in this contest. Milwaukee will have Corbin Burnes on the mound, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Los Angeles is starting Lance Lynn, who has been very good since being acquired from the White Sox. Lynn has allowed four earned runs in 18 innings of work for the Dodgers. I have to take the Dodgers in this one. They have been playing too well lately and the Brewers offense is in the bottom third of baseball. Take LA to get the win. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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