Guardians vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/16/23

Cincinnati Reds (62-58) vs Cleveland Guardians (57-62)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Andrew Abbott (7-3) (2.95) vs Noah Syndergaard (2-5) (6.35)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -150 / Cleveland Guardians +138 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds face off on Wednesday in an MLB showdown at the Great American Ballpark.

Guardians Playing Themselves out of AL Central

The American League Central is bad, but the Guardians have still played their way out of it. They still have a chance to climb back up the standings, but it’s going to take some series sweeps. In the last series against the Tampa Bay Rays they lost two of the three games, and the pitching was bad in the two losses. On Sunday the pitching was better and they ended up winning 9-2. The Guardians are averaging 4.08 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.08 runs per game. The offense is ranked 27th while the pitching is ranked 5th. On the mound for the Guardians will be Noah Syndergaard who sits with 2-5 record and an ERA of 6.35.

Guardians Betting Trends

The Guardians have won each of their last five games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last seven games.
The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against NL Central opponents.
The Guardians have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Abbott has Impressed

On the mound for the Reds in this game is Andrew Abbott and he sits with a 7-3 record and an ERA of 2.95. In his last start against the Pittsburgh PIrates, he went 5.2 innings giving up four hits and two runs. The Reds are averaging 4.84 runs while their pitching is giving up while their pitching is giving up 5.03 runs per game. The offense is ranked 7th while the pitching is ranked 26th. In this game if the Reds want to secure a win, they are going to need the bats to find success against Syndergaard.

Reds Betting Trends

The underdogs have won eight of the Reds' last nine games at Great American Ball Park.
The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favorites following a loss.
The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites.
The Reds have trailed after 7 innings in three of their last four games as home favorites against American League opponents.
The Reds have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as home favorites.

Guardians and Reds Facts

The Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (169).
The Cincinnati Reds ranks 26th in the league for ERA this season (4.79).
The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (120).
The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (485).

Shane’s Free Pick

Remember when Syndergaard used to be one of the best pitchers in baseball? That isn’t the case anymore, and at this point he’s almost an automatic loss. The Reds are going to run up the score here, and the Guardians aren’t going to be keeping up going against Abbott. This is going to be an easy victory for the Reds. Back the Reds -1.5 to cash here.