Pirates vs Mets Prediction - MLB Picks 8/15/23

New York Mets (54-65) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (53-66)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

David Peterson (3-7) (5.61) vs Bailey Falter (0-7) (5.21)

Betting Odds: New York Mets -135 / Pittsburgh Pirates +114 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the New York Mets in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Citi Field in Queens, New York. New York won Game 1 in this series by a score of 7-2 on Monday night and they will look to make it three games in a row with a victory here.

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 53-66 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three games to the Reds at home. The Pirates have allowed quite a few runs recently, allowing at least five runs in seven of their last eight games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average this year. The Pirates offense has scored 495 runs with a .235 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .268 with 17 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bailey Falter, who is 0-7 with a 5.21 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP over 48.1 innings pitched this season.

Mets Preview

The New York Mets are 54-65 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. New York came into this series after being out scored by a total of 40-10 over four games against the Braves. The Mets have scored 14 runs in their last two games and they are 30-27 at home this year. The New York pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, a 1.38 WHIP, and a .251 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 514 runs with a .236 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Pete Alonso is batting .224 with 35 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Mets. The projected starting pitcher for New York is David Peterson, who is 3-7 with a 5.61 ERA and a 1.61 WHIP over 69.0 innings pitched this year. 

New York Mets Team Facts

  • The Mets have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against the Pirates.
  • The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Pirates at Citi Field.
  • The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last six night games against the Pirates at Citi Field.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have won each of their last six games as road underdogs following a road loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games following a road loss.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last nine night games at Citi Field against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last three night games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games against NL East opponents.

New York Mets Player Prop Facts

  • Pete Alonso has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets' last four home games against NL Central opponents.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded an RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Pete Alonso has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Mets' last four games against NL Central opponents.
  • Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets' last five games as favorites against NL opponents.
  • Jeff McNeil has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets' last nine games at Citi Field.
  • Pete Alonso ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.522) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

  • Jack Suwinski has hit a home run in two of the Pirates' last three night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded two or more hits in each of the Pirates' last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Pirates' last four games as underdogs against NL opponents.
  • Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in seven of the Pirates' last eight games as underdogs against NL East opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for hits this season (927).
  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for walks allowed this season (438).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for batting average this season (.235).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 25th in the league for RBI's this season (474).

Pick

The Mets look to continue their modest two game winning streak here, but that is a positive sign for a team that has struggled to string wins together this season. New York was able to survive a Carrasco start in Game 1 and they will turn to David Peterson in this matchup, who has allowed two earned runs over his last 11.2 innings of work. Pittsburgh is starting Bailey Falter, who has allowed five earned runs in two starts (8 IP) for the Pirates this year. Peterson doesn’t have great numbers on the year, but he has been solid in last few relief outings and short starts. I like the Mets to get another win here. 

David’s Pick Mets ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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