Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 8/15/23

Toronto Blue Jays (66-54) vs Philadelphia Phillies (65-54)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Yusei Kikuchi (9-4) (3.53) vs Zack Wheeler (9-5) (3.74)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays +102 / Philadelphia Phillies -122 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: MLB.tv Stream the MLB Game of the Day all season on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 1 of their series at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario on Tuesday night. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss, but they have played solid baseball over the last two weeks. Toronto is also coming off of a series loss and they have had some struggles over the last week. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-54 this season and they have won six of their last nine games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series loss to the Twins, where they lost two out of three games at home. The Phillies only managed to score one run in their last two games, after scoring 26 runs in the previous three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this year. The Phillies offense has scored 550 runs with a .256 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber is batting .182 with 30 home runs and 73 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 9-5 with a 3.74 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 137 innings pitched this season.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 66-54 this season and they have lost four of their last six games. Toronto is coming off of a series loss to the Cubs, where they lost two out of three games at home. The Blue Jays pitching staff has one of the better team ERA’s in the MLB, but they have allowed four runs or more in four consecutive games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 540 runs with a .261 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this season. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .266 with 18 home runs and 72 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Yusei Kikuchi, who is 9-4 with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 122.1 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as underdogs against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the last three games between the Phillies and Blue Jays.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents.
  • The Phillies have covered the run line seven of their last eight road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five games as road favorites.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Brandon Belt has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances against the Phillies.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five home games against the Phillies.
  • Brandon Belt has scored a run in each of his last four home appearances against the Phillies.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last four games against NL East opponents at Rogers Centre.
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last nine home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances after not playing the previous day.
  • J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Phillies' last four games against the Blue Jays.
  • J.T. Realmuto has scored at least one run in each of his four previous appearances against the Blue Jays after not playing the previous day.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last five night games.
  • Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances in night games.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last nine night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 3rd in the league for hits this season (1074).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1121).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 7th in the league for doubles this season (219).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1085).

Pick

The Blue Jays are right in the middle of the AL Wild Card chase and they are currently in the third Wild Card spot. Philadelphia is in the first NL Wild Card spot, but they are only three games up. Philadelphia is starting Zack Wheeler, who has allowed 3, 2, 1, and 1 earned run in his last four starts. The Blue Jays are starting Yusei Kikuchi, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts. Kikuchi has been lights out for Toronto lately and I am going to take him and the Jays to win. 

David’s Pick Blue Jays ML

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
Previous Pick
Next Pick

Mitch's Take...

College Football Best Bets Today Picks & Predictions Week 5 Saturday 9/30/23 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss