Astros vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 8/15/23

Miami Marlins (63-57) vs Houston Astros (68-52)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Johnny Cueto (0-3) (5.33) vs Cristian Javier (8-2) (4.36)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins +110 / Houston Astros -130 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros will play the Miami Marlins in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at loanDepot park in Miami, Florida. Miami won the first game in this series by a score of 5-1 on Monday night. Houston had plenty of chances to score more than one run in this game, but they stranded 10 baserunners. 

Astros Preview

The Houston Astros are 68-52 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Houston is coming off of a series win against the Angels, where they won two out of three games over the weekend. The Astros have only scored one run in each of their last two games, but they shouldn’t be too concerned as they scored 50 runs in the previous six games. The Houston pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average this season. The Astros offense has scored 581 runs with a .251 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Kyle Tucker is batting .294 with 22 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Astros. The projected starting pitcher for Houston is Cristian Javier, who is 8-2 with a 4.36 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 117.2 innings pitched this year. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 63-57 this season and they have won five of their last six games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Miami won two out of three games against the Yankees. The Marlins have hit the ball surprisingly well recently, scoring at least four runs in four of their last five games. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 490 runs with a .262 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this year. Jorge Soler is batting .244 with 29 home runs and 63 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Johnny Cueto, who is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 27.0 innings pitched this season. 

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the Marlins' last five games.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last five games as underdogs.

Houston Astros Team Facts

  • The Astros have won each of their last eight road games following a road loss.
  • The Astros have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 games against National League opponents following a road loss.
  • The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last seven games as road favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Astros' last four games as favorites.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as road favorites.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Jorge Soler has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Josh Bell has recorded an RBI in five of his last six appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
  • Josh Bell has scored at least one run in six of his last seven home appearances.
  • Luis Arraez has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL opponents.
  • Johnny Cueto has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against the Astros.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.410) this season.

Houston Astros Player Prop Facts

  • Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of the Astros' last five night games.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against NL opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has scored at least one run in each of the Astros' last four night games.
  • Cristian Javier has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last three road appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jeremy Pena has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against NL East opponents.
  • Jose Altuve has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros' last 11 night games.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for hits this season (1068).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for home runs this season (114).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (949).
  • The Houston Astros ranks T6th in the league for runs scored this season (581).

Pick

The Astros wasted a bunch of opportunities in Game 1 of this series and they will look to bounce back here. On the other hand, the Marlins were able to get a huge win in the race for a Wild Card. Miami is starting Johnny Cueto, who has allowed 3, 4, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Houston is starting Cristian Javier, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five consecutive starts. Javier has been solid, but he has not been the ace that the Astros were hoping for. I think Houston is going to have a much better day at the plate in this game and I like them to even the series here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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