Orioles vs Padres Prediction - MLB Picks 8/14/23

San Diego Padres (56-62) vs Baltimore Orioles (73-45)

Game Info: Monday, August 14, 2023 at 9:40 pm (Petco Park)

Yu Darvish (8-7) (4.19) vs Grayson Rodriguez (2-3) (5.84)

Betting Odds: San Diego Padres / Baltimore Orioles --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Baltimore Orioles and San Diego Padres face off on Monday in an MLb showdown at Petco Park. 

Rodriguez Pitching Better

Grayson Rodriguez is on the mound for the Orioles and he has pitched better as of late, but that hasn’t resulted in wins. Over Rodriguez last two starts he has given up five runs total but the Orioles have lost each of the games. The Orioles faced off against the Seattle Mariners over the weekend and they won two of three games. The Orioles scored five runs on Sunday and that was enough for the two run victory. The Orioles are averaging 4.87 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.33 runs per game. Anthony Sandanter has hit 21 home runs and driven in 64 RBIs so far this season. 

Orioles Betting Trends

  • The Padres have won each of their last eight home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have covered the run line each of their last six home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against the Orioles.
  • The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last three home games against American League opponents.
  • The Padres have led after 7 innings in each of their last eight games at Petco Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Padres Continue to Fold

The Padres continue to fold and they have lost two games in a row. On Sunday it looked like they could pull out a win, but they gave up three runs over the last three innings and that led to the defeat. The Padres are averaging 4.57 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.09 runs per game. The offense is ranked 14th while the pitching is ranked 6th. Fernando Tatis Jr is dealing with a sore shoulder and although he’s hurt, it’s unclear if he’s going to have to be held out. 

Padres Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have won eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents following a win.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Orioles' last three road games against National League opponents.

Orioles and Padres Facts

  • The San Diego Padres ranks 4th in the league for runs allowed this season (483).
  • The San Diego Padres ranks 5th in the league for ERA this season (3.83).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 7th in the league for strikeouts this season (1076).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for runs scored this season (575).

Shane’s Free Pick

This total is too high. Rodriguez has pitched well heading into this game and he’s going to find that success again in this game. The Orioles haven’t been giving him a whole lot of run support though, and that is also going to happen again here. This game is going to be lower scoring and the under will cash. 

Shane’s Pick Under

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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