Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/12/23

Boston Red Sox (61-55) vs Detroit Tigers (52-64)

Game Info: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Brayan Bello (8-6) (3.64) vs Matt Manning (3-4) (5.06)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -192 / Detroit Tigers +160 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Tigers will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Boston won Game 1 in this series by a score of 5-2 on Friday night and they will look to make it four in a row here. Detroit has played very inconsistently this season and they could not maintain the momentum from their last series win. 

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 52-64 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Detroit is coming off of a series win against the Twins, where they won three out of four games. The Tigers were able to shutout the Twins twice in their last series, but they couldn’t contain the Boston bats in Game 1. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.47 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .246 opponent batting average this year. The Tigers offense has scored 457 runs with a .234 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Spencer Torkelson is batting .222 with 17 home runs and 61 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Matt Manning, who is 3-4 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 53.1 innings pitched this season.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 61-55 this season and they have won three games in a row. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Boston won three out of four games against the Royals. The Red Sox have pitched very well in recent outings, allowing three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.33 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 563 runs with a .262 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. Triston Casas is batting .253 with 19 home runs and 45 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brayan Bello, who is 8-6 with a 3.64 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The Red Sox have won 15 of their last 16 games following a home win.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Tigers and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games at Fenway Park against AL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last four day games.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven day games.

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have won five of their last six games as road underdogs against American League opponents following a loss.
  • The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last four day games following a road loss.
  • The Tigers have led after 7 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games at Fenway Park against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

  • Triston Casas has hit a home run in each of the Red Sox's last two games as favorites against the Tigers.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Triston Casas has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances at Fenway Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Connor Wong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents at Fenway Park.
  • Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances against the Tigers.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in three of the Tigers' last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded two or more hits in three of his four previous appearances at Fenway Park.
  • Riley Greene has recorded an RBI in each of the Tigers' last three games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Javier Baez has scored at least one run in eight of the Tigers' last nine road games.
  • Andy Ibanez has recorded two or more total bases in nine of his last 11 appearances in day games.
  • Matt Manning has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (1034).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for home runs this season (108).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks T28th in the league for RBI's this season (439).

Pick

Boston comes into this game still fighting in the AL Wild Card race, while Detroit is starting to look towards next season. Detroit is 26-31 on the road this year, while Boston is 34-27 at Fenway Park. The Tigers are starting Matt Manning, who has allowed 17 earned runs in his last three starts (16.2 IP). The Red Sox are starting Brayan Bello, who has allowed three earned runs or more in four of his last five starts. Manning has not looked very good in his last few outings and I think the Red Sox are going to score early and often here. I also think Detroit will be able to scratch a few runs out and I like the over in this game. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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