Padres vs Diamondbacks Prediction - MLB Picks 8/12/23

Arizona Diamondbacks (57-59) vs San Diego Padres (56-60)

Game Info: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Chase Field)

Zac Gallen (11-5) (3.37) vs Rich Hill (7-11) (5.16)

Betting Odds: Arizona Diamondbacks -170 / San Diego Padres +156 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Arizona Diamondbacks and the San Diego Padres will meet in Phoenix for game two of their divisional set this Saturday from Chase Field. San Diego took game one after jumping out to a big lead, 10-5.

Padres Preview & Projected Starter 

San Diego moved to 56-60 after beating Arizona. The Padres snapped a four-game skid by taking it to the DBacks last night, and they’ll look to double down here in game two. The San Diego offense is scoring 4.31 runs per game, while batting .228, with a .317 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.76 ERA, with a 1.23 WHIP. 

Rich Hill (7-11, 5.09 ERA, 108 Ks) will get the call for San Diego. The veteran lefty was roughed up by the Dodgers at home last week, coughing up six runs in just three innings pitched to take his eleventh loss. Hill facing the Dodgers sounded like a messy situation, and unfortunately that’s how it played out. Hill’s allowed three runs or more in eight of his last ten starts, but he’ll look to capitalize on a slumping DBacks team here.  

Padres Player Trends & Props

Juan Soto has recorded a hit in eight of the last ten games, and he leads the Padres in home runs (24) and RBI (72), with 108 hits.

Manny Machado is hitless over his last three contests, but he’s still posting splits of .253/21/66. 

Fernando Tatis plated two runs in the series finale versus LAD,  and he’s posting a solid line of .259/19/60. 

Xander Bogaerts has collected a hit in eight of the last ten games,  and he leads the Pads in hits (109), while batting .265.   

Ha-Seong Kim brings an 14-game hit streak into this matchup, and he leads the Pads in (.290), with 15 homers and 41 RBI.

 

Diamondbacks Preview & Projected Starter

Arizona enters at 57-59 after falling to San Diego. The Diamondbacks have fully regressed, and after dropping ten straight, the bleeding has to stop at some point. The Arizona offense is scoring 4.34 runs per game, while batting .257, with a .326 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.41 ERA, with a 1.34 WHIP. 

Zac Gallen (11-5, 3.41 ERA, 149 Ks) will get the ball for Arizona. The fifth-year pitcher responded to his first loss in nearly two months by holding Pittsburgh to one run over seven innings to get back into the win column. Gallen has allowed three runs or more in six of his first nine road spots, but he’s been one of the best pitchers in all of baseball over the first half of the season, and he’ll look to buck that trend here in Toronto.

DBacks Player Trends & Props

Corbin Carroll has collected a hit in four of the previous five games, and he’s posting nice splits of .276/21/59. 

Ketel Marte snapped a five-game hitless streak with a pair of knocks in the game one loss, and he’s first on the team in batting (.284) and hits (117), with eighteen homers and 58 RBI.

Christian Walker has multiple hits in back-to-back games, and he’s Arizona’s leader in home runs (23) and RBI (70).   

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has produced a run in five of the last eight games, and he’s posting a line of .255/18/61.

 

Corey’s Free Pick

Alright Arizona, they won’t come much easier than this. Aside from facing the Pads bats, this is more than an ideal spot for the Diamondbacks to stop the bleeding. They’ll be sending Zac Gallen to the mound, and in return they get to face an aging Rich Hill at home. Something’s got to give for this group, BUT this also puts the Padres in an profitable position against a team that’s dropped ten straight games, and they’re more than worth a look here as underdogs. Tread lightly, and give the Over a look as well, but take a swing on San Diego this Saturday night, as another loss for Arizona wouldn’t surprise anyone at this point. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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