Cubs vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 8/12/23

Toronto Blue Jays (65-53) vs Chicago Cubs (60-56)

Game Info: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 3:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Chris Bassitt (11-6) (3.87) vs Justin Steele (13-3) (2.68)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -118 / Chicago Cubs -102 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Chicago Cubs will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Chicago won the first game in this series by a score of 6-2 and they continue to make a strong push in the race for the NL Central. Toronto is third in the AL East, but they are right in the middle of the race for an AL Wild Card berth. 

Cubs Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 60-56 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Chicago is coming off of a series loss to the Mets, where they lost two out of three games on the road. The Cubs have been one of the hottest offensive teams in the MLB lately and they have scored six runs or more in five of their last ten games. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this year. The Cubs offense has scored 588 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Ian Happ is batting .244 with 13 home runs and 53 RBI’s for the Cubs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Justin Steele, who is 13-3 with a 2.68 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 121 innings pitched this season.

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 65-53 this season and they have won five of their last eight games. Prior to this series, Toronto lost two out of three games in their series in Cleveland. The Blue Jays have struggled offensively in recent games, scoring three runs or fewer in five straight. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 525 runs with a .260 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. George Springer is batting .259 with 14 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 11-6 with a 3.87 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 139.2 innings pitched this year. 

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last 10 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Blue Jays' last nine games.
  • The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Chicago Cubs Team Facts

  • The Cubs have won nine of their last 12 games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cubs' last eight games as road underdogs.
  • The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three road day games.
  • The Cubs have led after 7 innings in 11 of their last 16 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.

Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts

  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Blue Jays' last eight home games against NL opponents.
  • Whit Merrifield has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Blue Jays' last five day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Danny Jansen has scored a run in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a winning record.
  • Chris Bassitt has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Matt Chapman has recorded at least one hit in each of the Blue Jays' last 12 games as home favorites against NL Central opponents.
  • Whit Merrifield ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.298) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

  • Cody Bellinger has hit at least one home run in each of the Cubs' last three games as underdogs against AL opponents.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Cubs' last four games as underdogs.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Cubs' last five games as underdogs.
  • Cody Bellinger has scored at least one run in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog against AL East opponents.
  • Justin Steele has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Cody Bellinger has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs' last eight games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Justin Steele ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.68) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks T3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1106).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (472).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks 4th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.333).
  • The Chicago Cubs ranks 5th in the league for runs scored this season (588).

Pick

The Cubs have played great baseball over the last month or so and they are in a battle with the Brewers and Reds for the NL Central. Toronto had a disappointing series in Cleveland and they followed it up with a poor effort in Game 1 on Friday. Toronto is starting Chris Bassitt, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. Chicago is starting Justin Steele, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. I think we are going to see a pitching duel in this game, especially with how Toronto has hit the ball recently, and I like the under here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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