Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/11/23

Boston Red Sox (59-55) vs Detroit Tigers (52-63)

Game Info: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Chris Sale (5-2) (4.58) vs Tarik Skubal (2-1) (3.67)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox -163 / Detroit Tigers +149 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox face off on Friday in an MLB showdown at Fenway Park in Boston. 

Tigers Playing with Confidence

The Tigers have some confidence heading into this game after winning three in a row against the Minnesota Twins. On Thursday, the Tigers only scored three runs, but the pitching was elite not giving up any runs. Riley Greene hit a home run and he’s been better as of late. The Tigers are averaging 3.96 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.81 runs per game. The offense is ranked 28th while the pitching is ranked 21st. On the mound for the Tigers will be Tarik Skubal who sits with a 2-1 record and an ERA of 3.67. In his last start against the Tampa Bay Rays he went 5.1 innings giving up six hits and one run. 

Tigers Betting Trends

  • The Tigers have lost 14 of their last 15 games against AL East opponents following a win.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL East opponents following a home win.
  • The Tigers have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 12 games as road underdogs.
  • The Tigers have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 12 games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six night games against AL East opponents.

Every Game is Important for Boston

At this point of the season, every game is ultra important for the Red Sox, and this is a series they really need to sweep. The Red Sox are averaging 4.88 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.67 runs per game. The offense is ranked 8th while the pitching is ranked 19th. Rafael Devers has hit 26 home runs and driven in 79 RBIs. 

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have won 14 of their last 15 games following a home win.
  • The favorites have covered the run line in seven of the last eight games between the Tigers and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last nine games as favorites.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Red Sox's last seven games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Friday night games against opponents that held a losing record.

Tigers and Red Sox Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 4th in the league for batting average this season (.261).
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (1025).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for home runs this season (107).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.300).

Shane’s Free Pick

This is a big game for the Red Sox but I actually think they are going to struggle in this game. Skubal looked quite impressive in the last game and he’s going to lockdown again in this game. The lack of scoring by the Red Sox is going to be the difference as the Tigers are going to get the job done. 

 

Shane’s Pick Tigers ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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