Brewers vs White Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/11/23

Chicago White Sox (47-69) vs Milwaukee Brewers (62-54)

Game Info: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Guaranteed Rate Field)

Michael Kopech (5-10) (4.43) vs Corbin Burnes (9-6) (3.42)

Betting Odds: Chicago White Sox +147 / Milwaukee Brewers -160 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago White Sox face off on Friday in an MLB showdown at Guaranteed Rate Field. 

Burnes is Mr. Consistent

On the mound for the Brewers will be Corbin Burnes who sits a 9-6 record and an ERA of 3.42. Over Burnes last seven starts he has given up ten runs total. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates he went six innings giving up two hits and two runs. The Brewers are averaging 4.27 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.28 runs per game. The offense is ranked 23rd while the pitching is ranked 11th. Christian Yellich has hit 16 home runs and driven in 64 RBIs. 

Brewers Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games following a win.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last three games as favorites against American League opponents.

Kopech has been better 

On the mound for the White Sox will be Michael Kopech who sits with a 5-10 record and an ERA of 4.43. Over his last two starts he has given up five runs total and both starts were against the Guardians. At times Kopech has been inconsistent, but he’s going to need to be good here. The White Sox is averaging 4.13 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 25th while the pitching is ranked 25th. 

White Sox Betting Trends

  • The White Sox have lost each of their last six home games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
  • The White Sox have led after 7 innings in four of their last six games as home underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the White Sox's last four games at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Brewers and White Sox Facts

  • The Chicago White Sox ranks 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (456).
  • The Chicago White Sox ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (1095).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for doubles this season (171).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.380).

Shane’s Free Pick

This game is going to be lower scoring. Burnes has been really good heading into this game and he’s going to lockdown again in this game. Kopech has also been better as of late and he’s going to lockdown again in this game. Both offenses are going to really struggle to get going against Burnes and Kopech and that is going to be the difference as this game stays under the total.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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