Rockies vs Dodgers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/10/23

Los Angeles Dodgers (67-46) vs Colorado Rockies (45-69)

Game Info: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 10:10 pm (Dodger Stadium)

Clayton Kershaw (10-4) (2.55) vs Ty Blach (1-1) (4.85)

Betting Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers -360 / Colorado Rockies +285 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Colorado Rockies will play the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 1 of their series on Thursday night at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. The Rockies have one of the worst records in baseball, but they have actually played decent baseball over the last two weeks. The Dodgers are one of the best teams in the MLB and they are starting to pull away in the NL West. 

Rockies Preview

The Colorado Rockies are 45-69 this season and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss to the Brewers, where they lost two out of three games. The Rockies have played very inconsistently this season and they are coming off of a series where they allowed 22 runs in three games. The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.50 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .281 opponent batting average this season. The Rockies offense has scored 493 runs with a .250 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .254 with 19 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Rockies. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Ty Blach, who is 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP over 26.0 innings pitched this year. 

Dodgers Preview

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 67-46 this season and they have won eight of their last nine games. LA is coming off of a mini series win against the Diamondbacks, where they won both games on the road. The Dodgers have played incredibly well over the last few months and they have scored seven runs or more in six of their last nine games. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.39 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Dodgers offense has scored 644 runs with a .251 batting average and a .338 on base percentage this year. Freddie Freeman is batting .344 with 23 home runs and 81 RBI’s for the Dodgers. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Clayton Kershaw, who is 10-4 with a 2.55 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP over 95.1 innings pitched this season.

Los Angeles Dodgers Team Facts

  • The Dodgers have won each of their last 12 Thursday night games against NL West opponents.
  • The Dodgers have covered the run line nine of their last 10 night games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games against the Rockies.
  • The Dodgers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Dodger Stadium against opponents that held a losing record.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Dodgers' last six games as home favorites against National League opponents.

Colorado Rockies Team Facts

  • The Rockies have lost each of their last nine night games at Dodger Stadium following a loss.
  • The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last eight road games against National League opponents following a loss.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Rockies have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last 10 Thursday night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.

Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts

  • Will Smith has hit a home run in each of the Dodgers' last two home games against the Rockies.
  • Enrique Hernandez has recorded an RBI in each of his last four appearances against NL West opponents.
  • Mookie Betts has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Dodgers' last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Jason Heyward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against the Rockies.
  • Mookie Betts has scored at least one run in each of the Dodgers' last six games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
  • Freddie Freeman ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.420) this season.

Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts

  • Ryan McMahon has hit a home run in two of the Rockies' last three games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
  • Ezequiel Tovar has recorded an RBI in four of the Rockies' last five games against NL opponents.
  • Brendan Rodgers has scored a run in three of his last four appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
  • Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a winning record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for home runs this season (181).
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 2nd in the league for RBI's this season (624).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.281).
  • The Colorado Rockies ranks 30th in the league for hits allowed this season (1100).

Pick

The Dodgers are expected to have Clayton Kershaw back from the IL for this game and they are massive favorites to win. LA has been on a roll in their last nine games and they are close to running away with the NL West. Colorado traded some players away at the deadline, but they have been pretty competitive recently. Colorado is starting Ty Blach, who has allowed four earned runs over his last 12.2 innings pitched. I do think the Dodgers will get the blowout win, but there is not much value on them to win or on the run line, so I am going to take a look at the total. The total is not too high and with how well the Dodgers are currently hitting the ball, I am going to take the over. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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