Nationals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/10/23

Philadelphia Phillies (62-52) vs Washington Nationals (50-64)

Game Info: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Aaron Nola (9-8) (4.58) vs Patrick Corbin (7-11) (5.10)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -240 / Washington Nationals +214 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies will host the Washington Nationals for game one of their divisional series this Monday from Citizens Bank Park. Philly took game three behind a no-hitter from Michael Lorenzen, 7-0.

Nationals Preview & Projected Starter

Washington moved to 50-65 after losing to Philadelphia. The Nats spent Wednesday evening in timeout, and they’ll attempt to regroup here in the series finale. The Washington offense is scoring 3.48 runs per game, while batting .262, with a .319 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.50 WHIP.

Patrick Corbin (7-11, 5.03 ERA, 89 Ks) will get the ball for Washington. The veteran lefty managed to deliver a quality start in Cincinnati last week, holding them to three runs over 6.1 innings pitched. Corbin has given up three runs or more in seven of his last nine appearances, but he’s quietly pitched better this season from a containment standpoint. Corbin has avoided letting games get out of hand, but he’s still in for a fight here in Philly. This will mark Corbin’s first time facing the high-powered Phillies, and his outing in the city of Brotherly Love did not go well last season.

Nats Player Trends & Props

• Lane Thomas has produced a run in four of the last six contests, and he leads the Nats in hits (126), with team-leading splits of .284/20/67.

• Joey Meneses went off in the game two win, smashing a pair of homers to extend his splits to .279/11/63.

• CJ Abrams had multiple hits in the game one loss, and he’s posting a line of .258/11/44.

Phillies Preview & Projected Starter

Philadelphia moved to 63-52 after defeating Washington. The Phillies got a gem from Michael Lorenzen to take a 2-1 series lead, and they’ll look to close strong Thursday. The Philly offense is scoring 4.13 runs per game, while batting .254, with a .322 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 3.98 ERA, with a 1.25 WHIP.

Aaron Nola (9-8, 4.58 ERA, 147 Ks) will take the mound for Philadelphia. The ninth-year righty failed to capitalize on facing Kansas City at home last week, giving up five runs in 5.2 innings en route to his second straight loss. Nola has struggled to prevent runs this season, and after allowing four runs or more in eight of his last thirteen starts, he’ll have to turn things around with the postseason looming.

Phillies Player Trends & Props

• Alex Bohm has collected a hit in nine of the previous ten games, and he leads Philly in RBI (73), while hitting .294.

• Nick Castellanos went yard twice in the game three victory, and he’s posting strong splits of .277/19/70.

• Bryson Stott has plated a run in three of the last four games, and he’s posting team-leads in batting (.302) and hits (127).

• Kyle Schwarber provided a pair of Schwarber bombs in the game one win, and he leads the Phillies in home runs (30), with 72 RBI.

• Trea Turner has totaled multiple bases in five straight games, and he’s averaging a like of .243/11/43.

• Bryce Harper has produced a run in four of the last five contests, and he’s batting .294, with 3537 RBI through 81 games.

Corey’s Free Pick

The Philly fans were blessed with a great performance from Michael Lorenzen last night, and I love rolling with their momentum into the series finale. Philadelphia gets to face everyone’s favorite with Patrick Corbin set to go for Washington, and I think they find a way to get to the volatile lefty at the plate. Aaron Nola has been a bit vulnerable himself this season, so there are a pair of angles to attack here. We’ve got ingredients to target the total with Nola’s recent form not so impressive, and Corbin still being a ticking time bomb at times. I like trusting the Phillies to come through at home a bit more, so let’s back them to take game three, and give the Over a hard look.