Braves vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 8/10/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (51-62) vs Atlanta Braves (71-40)

Game Info: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 12:35 pm (PNC Park)

Bailey Falter (0-7) (4.87) vs Bryce Elder (8-3) (3.43)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +160 / Atlanta Braves -188 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Atlanta Braves and Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Thursday in an MLB showdown at PNC Park. On Wednesday it was the Braves that were able to secure the 6-5 victory. 

Braves Inconsistent Last Week

The Braves have been a little inconsistent the last week, and these are still key games, especially against lesser teams. In the first game of the season the Braves offense scored eight runs and they are going to need the offense to be good again here. The Braves are averaging 5.7 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.23 runs per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the league while the pitching is ranked 10th. Matt Olson has hit 39 home runs and driven in 100 RBIs so far this season. On the mound for the Braves will be Bryce Elder who sits with an 8-3 record and an ERA of 3.43. 

Braves Betting Trends

  • The Braves have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Pirates.
  • The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road win.
  • The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
  • The Braves have led after 7 innings in each of their last five day games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.

Falter Continues to Struggle

On the mound for the Pirates will be Bailey Falter who sits with an 0-7 record and an ERA of 4.87. In his last start against the Pittsburgh Pirates he went four innings giving up six hits and one run. The Pirates are averaging 4.16 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.6 runs per game. The offense is ranked 24th in the league while the pitching is ranked 22nd. Bryan Reynolds has hit 15 home runs and driven in 54 RBIs. 

Pirates Betting Trends

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Braves following a loss.
  • The Pirates have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last four day games against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at PNC Park against National League opponents.
  • The Pirates have led after 7 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.

Braves and Pirates Facts

  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T5th in the league for home runs allowed this season (124).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 25th in the league for runs scored this season (475).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.499).
  • The Atlanta Braves ranks 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).

Shane’s Free Pick

Falter was a little better in his last start, but he has been awful overall and he’s going to really struggle again in this game. The Braves offense has been a ton of confidence heading into this game, and their offense is going to have no issue running up the score here. The Pirates offense is going to really struggle again in this game, and that will be the difference as the Braves get the job done. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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