Astros vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 8/10/23

Baltimore Orioles (70-43) vs Houston Astros (65-49)

Game Info: Thursday, August 10, 2023 at 12:35 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Dean Kremer (10-4) (4.61) vs Hunter Brown (8-7) (4.07)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -105 / Houston Astros -115 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Houston Astros and Baltimore Orioles face off on Thursday in an MLB showdown at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. On Wednesday it was the Astros that were able to secure the 8-2 victory. 

Hunter Brown Needs to Keep the Ball in the Ballpark

On the mound for the Astros will be Hunter Brown who sits with a 8-7 record and an ERA of 4.07. In each of Browns last three starts he has given up only two runs each. Over the three games he has also given up four home runs and he needs to be better with the home runs. If he struggles with the home runs, this is going to be a long game. The Astros are averaging 4.78 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.2 runs per game. The offense is ranked 10th while the pitching is ranked 7th. Kyle Tucker has hit 21 home runs and driven in 84 RBIs. 

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros have won each of their last 10 Thursday day games against American League opponents.
  • The Astros have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Astros have trailed after 7 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against AL East opponents.
  • The Astros have led after 3 innings in each of their last six Thursday day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Dean Kremer Needs to be Lights Out 

On the mound for the Orioles will be Dean Kremer who sits with a 10-4 record and an ERA of 4.61. In his last start against the Mets he went 5.1 innings giving up two hits and two runs. The Orioles are averaging 4.96 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.3 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th while the pitching is ranked 13th. Anthony Santander has hit 20 home runs and driven in 63 RBIs. 

Orioles Betting Trends

  • The Orioles have won each of their last 14 Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have covered the run line each of their last 12 Thursday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Orioles have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.
  • The Orioles have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 15 games as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
  • The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Asttros and Orioles Facts

  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 7th in the league for RBI's this season (545).
  • The Baltimore Orioles ranks 8th in the league for runs scored this season (562).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 5th in the league for strikeouts against this season (915).
  • The Houston Astros ranks 25th in the league for doubles this season (184).

Shane’s Free Pick

This is a great spot to take the over. The home run ball has been an issue for Brown and he’s going to really struggle again in this game. Dean Kremer has been fine, but his ERA is high and he’s going to struggle again in this game. Both offenses are going to run up the score and the over is going to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Best Bets for Today Picks & Predictions Monday 7/22/24 | 7 Picks in 5 Minutes

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