Cleveland Guardians (55-59) vs Toronto Blue Jays (64-51)
Game Info: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Progressive Field)
Logan Allen (5-4) (3.65) vs Kevin Gausman (8-6) (3.20)
Betting Odds: Cleveland Guardians +124 / Toronto Blue Jays -148 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Cleveland Guardians in Game 3 of their series on Wednesday night at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Toronto won Game 1 in this series by a score of 3-1, while Cleveland answered with the 1-0 win on Tuesday night. Will we see another pitching duel here or will the offenses finally get things going?
Blue Jays Preview
The Toronto Blue Jays are 64-51 this season and they have won four of their last five games. Prior to splitting the first two games in this series, Toronto swept Boston on the road. The Blue Jays scored 25 runs in three games in Boston, but they have only scored three runs in the first two games of this series. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 519 runs with a .261 batting average and a .331 on base percentage. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is batting .265 with 18 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 8-6 with a 3.20 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 132 innings pitched this year.
Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 55-59 this season and they have lost six of their last eight games. Cleveland came into this series after losing two out of three games at home against the White Sox. The Guardians have scored three runs or fewer in six of their last eight games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 459 runs with a .249 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this year. Andres Gimenez is batting .234 with 10 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Guardians. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Logan Allen, who is 5-4 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 86.1 innings pitched this season.
Cleveland Guardians Team Facts
- The Guardians have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Blue Jays following a home win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Blue Jays.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Guardians' last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts
- The Blue Jays have won seven of their last eight night games following a road loss.
- The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 night games at Progressive Field following a road loss.
- The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last four games.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Blue Jays have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of his last 12 appearances with the Guardians as underdogs against the Blue Jays.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in eight of the Guardians' last 10 games against AL East opponents at Progressive Field.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in 12 of his last 13 appearances at Progressive Field against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Toronto Blue Jays Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Belt has hit a home run in three of his last six road appearances with the Blue Jays against AL opponents.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Blue Jays' last five night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
- Brandon Belt has scored a run in four of his last five appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
- Kevin Gausman has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances with the Blue Jays as favorites.
- George Springer has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Blue Jays as road favorites.
- Kevin Gausman ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (3.20) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cleveland Guardians ranks 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (116).
- The Cleveland Guardians ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (430).
- The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (462).
- The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
Pick
These two teams have played two very low scoring games to start this series, which plays right into Cleveland’s hands. The Guardians have not hit the ball very well this year and they are near the bottom of the MLB in runs scored. Cleveland is starting Logan Allen, who has allowed 11 earned runs over his last three starts (19 IP). Toronto is starting Kevin Gausman, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. I have been on a lot of Guardians unders in recent weeks and I like it again here. Gausman has been solid in recent outings and I don’t trust the Cleveland offense at all. Take the under here.
David’s Pick Under 8
AUTHOR: David Racey
Mitch's Take...
