Nationals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/8/23

Philadelphia Phillies (61-51) vs Washington Nationals (49-63)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 8, 2023 at 4:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Zack Wheeler/Ranger Suarez vs Trevor Williams/Josiah Gray

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies / Washington Nationals --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals will play the Philadelphia Phillies in a double header in their series on Tuesday at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Game 1 was rained out on Monday night, so we will have two games today. The Nationals come into this game with a terrible record, but they have played well lately and will look to keep it up against their division rival. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 49-63 this season and they have won four games in a row. Washington is coming off of a series win against the Reds, where they won all three of the games on the road. Washington has won two series in a row and will look to make it a third in Philadelphia. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.86 ERA, a 1.46 WHIP, and a .271 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 487 runs with a .259 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Lane Thomas is batting .290 with 19 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington in Game 1 is Trevor Williams, who is 5-6 with a 4.72 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for Washington in Game 2 is Josiah Gray, who is 7-9 with a 3.54 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 122.0 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 61-51 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series win against the Royals, where they won two out of three games at home. The Phillies offense has scored plenty of runs recently, scoring five runs or more in four of their last five games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 511 runs with a .255 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Nick Castellanos is batting .274 with 17 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia in Game 1 is Zack Wheeler, who is 8-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 131.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for the Phillies in Game 2 is Ranger Suarez, who is 2-5 with a 4.01 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 85.1 innings pitched this season. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have lost each of their last five home games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents following a win.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games at Citizens Bank Park against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last four day games.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three games as favourites against NL East opponents.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have won each of their last four games as underdogs against National League opponents.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line each of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games as underdogs.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last five games as road underdogs.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of his last 19 appearances with the Phillies as home favourites.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit at least one home run in two of the Nationals' last three games as road underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for doubles this season (207).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T8th in the league for home runs allowed this season (125).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (834).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 28th in the league for walks this season (290).

Pick

The Phillies come into this double header in the middle of the NL Wild Card race, where they are currently holding a Wild Card spot. Philadelphia is 30-21 at home this year, while the Nationals have actually played better on the road than at home. Make sure you check the pitching matchups on Tuesday, as they have not been officially announced yet. With the current matchups, I like the Phillies to win Game 1 by at least two runs, as Wheeler has been very sharp recently. In Game 2, I am actually going to take the Nationals to get the win, as Josiah Gray has pitched very well on the road lately. 

David’s Pick Game 1: Phillies -1.5 Game 2: Nationals ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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