Marlins vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/8/23

Cincinnati Reds (60-55) vs Miami Marlins (58-56)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 8, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Luke Weaver (2-4) (6.98) vs Braxton Garrett (5-3) (4.14)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +114 / Miami Marlins -135 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. The Reds won Game 1 in this series by a score of 5-2, but both of these teams have struggled over the past few weeks. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 60-55 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Prior to winning the first game in this series, Cincinnati lost all three of their games at home against Washington. The Reds have had major issues with their pitching staff, as they have allowed at least five runs in seven of their last eight games. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 558 runs with a .250 batting average and a .328 on base percentage this season. TJ Friedl is batting .284 with 10 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Luke Weaver, who is 2-4 with a 6.98 ERA and a 1.64 WHIP over 89.0 innings pitched this year. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-56 this season and they have lost five games in a row. Miami came into this series after getting swept by the Rangers, where they were out scored by a total of 21-10. The Marlins have also had some issues with their pitching staff, allowing at least five runs in four straight games and five of their last six. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.18 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 462 runs with a .263 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .241 with 27 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Braxton Garrett, who is 5-3 with a 4.14 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 111.0 innings pitched this season. 

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Reds' last four games.
  • The Reds have covered the run line each of their last seven games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Reds have lost the first inning in each of their last three home games against NL East opponents.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home night games.
  • The Reds have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
  • The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as favourites against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games at Great American Ball Park against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Luis Arraez ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.419) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in the league for walks allowed this season (431).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (160).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.263).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for walks this season (301).

Pick

The Reds were able to get a big win on Monday night and they snapped their six game losing streak in the process. Miami has now lost five games in a row and they are dropping very quickly in the NL Wild Card standings. Miami is starting Braxton Garrett, who has allowed 3, 0, 6, 4, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts. Cincinnati is starting Luke Weaver, who has allowed 4, 1, 3, 4, and 5 earned runs in his last five outings. I expect this game to be high scoring, as neither pitcher has been very good, but I am taking the Reds at home here. Both of these teams have struggled lately, but I trust the Cincinnati offense a lot more than I trust Miami’s. Take the Reds to get the win. 

David’s Pick Reds ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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