Marlins vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/7/23

Cincinnati Reds (59-55) vs Miami Marlins (58-55)

Game Info: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 6:40 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Brandon Williamson (3-2) (4.85) vs Eury Perez (5-3) (2.36)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds +105 / Miami Marlins -115 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Reds will host the Miami Marlins for game one of their three-game set this Monday from Great American Ballpark.

Marlins Preview & Projected Starter

Miami moved to 58-55 after being swept by Texas. The Marlins have dropped five of six to start the month, and they’ll need to avoid falling further from the wildcard race this week. Miami offense is scoring 4.02 runs per game, while batting .260, with a .321 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.10 ERA, with a 1.27 WHIP. 

Eury Perez (5-3, 2.36 ERA, 61 Ks) will take the mound for Miami. The rookie pitcher is set to rejoin the rotation as they look to fix their playoff push. Perez pitched well in his last appearance, striking out seven over six innings, while holding St. Louis to one run. Perez made his MLB debut against Cincinnati back in May, and he’ll look to inject some life into the Marlins pitching staff with a solid outing here. Perez held teams to two runs or less in nine of his first eleven big league starts.

Marlins Player Trends & Props

Luis Arraez has recorded a hit in nine of the last ten games, and he’s leading the majors in batting (.375) and hits (156), with 52 RBI. 

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has produced a run in three of the previous four games, and he’s posting splits of .253/10/24 through 50 games. 

Jon Berti homered in the game one loss, and he’s batting a career-best .289.

Jesus Sanchez has totaled multiple bases in each of his last three appearances, and he’s posting a line of .268/10/37.

Jorge Soler has collected a hit in eight of the previous nine games, and he leads Miami in home runs (26) and RBI (59).

Bryan De La Cruz is second on the team in both categories with fifteen home runs and 58 runs batted in.

 

Reds Preview & Projected Starter

Cincinnati moved to 59-55 after being swept by Washington. The Reds have also struggled to begin the month of August, and they enter this contest losers of their last six games. The Cincinnati offense is scoring 3.78 runs per game, while batting .257, with a .334 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.46 WHIP. 

Brandon Williamson (3-2, 4.85 ERA, 55 Ks) will get the call for Cincinnati. The rookie pitcher had a tough time at Wrigley last week, allowing five runs in 4.1 innings, but he avoided the losing decision in what turned out to be a shootout. Williamson looked good in his first two post-break starts, and he’ll attempt to bounce back here at home. The TCU product has held teams to two runs or less in his last three starts in Cincy, but he’ll be facing a Miami team that needs to stop the bleeding. 

Reds Player Trends & Props

Spencer Steer went gutless versus Washington over the weekend, but he still leads the team in hits (108), home runs (17), and RBI (62). 

Elly De La Cruz has recorded a hit in nine of the last ten games,  and he’s batting .268, with 41 runs scored through 52 games.

Joey Votto homered in the game three loss, he’s up to twelve homers and 30 RBI thru 38 contests.

Matt Mclain collected three hits in that same contest, and he leads Cincy in batting .(302), with 40 RBI. 

 

Corey’s Free Pick

This rookie matchup could turn some heads, and I think Eury Perez delivers in his return to action. Perez has been a shutdown pitcher this season, and aside from a messy outing in Atlanta, he’s thrived on the mound and contained each lineup he’s faced. Both teams need a win here badly, but I think the Marlins stop the bleeding with a strong two-way effort in game one. Back Miami this Monday.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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