Royals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/6/23

Philadelphia Phillies (60-51) vs Kansas City Royals (36-76)

Game Info: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Taijuan Walker (12-4) (3.99) vs Zack Greinke (1-11) (5.32)

Betting Odds: Philadelphia Phillies -218 / Kansas City Royals +180 --- Over/Under: 9.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Kansas City Royals will play the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Kansas City won the first game in this series by a score of 7-5, but the Phillies bounced back with a 9-6 win on Saturday. The Royals have one of the worst records in baseball, but they have been one of the hottest teams in the MLB over the last week. Can the Royals stay hot and get another series win?

Royals Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 36-76 this season and they have won seven of their last eight games. Prior to this series, Kansas City won all three games against the Mets and all three games against the Twins. The Royals have hit the ball very well recently, scoring six runs or more in four of their last five games. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 5.18 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP, and a .263 opponent batting average this year. The Royals offense has scored 436 runs with a .238 batting average and a .297 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .268 with 20 home runs and 67 RBI’s for the Royals. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Zack Greinke, who is 1-11 with a 5.32 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 106.2 innings pitched this season.

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-51 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Prior to splitting the first two games in this series, Philadelphia won three out of four games on the road in Miami. The Phillies are 29-21 at home this year, but they are only 27-47 as a favorite. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 503 runs with a .255 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. J.T. Realmuto is batting .247 with 13 home runs and 44 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Taijuan Walker, who is 12-4 with a 3.99 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 119.2 innings pitched this year. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

  • The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against American League opponents following a home win.
  • The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as home favourites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
  • The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last six games as favourites against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three games as favourites against AL Central opponents.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

  • The Royals have won six of their last seven games as underdogs.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games against NL East opponents following a loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last four games.
  • The Royals have led after 5 innings in four of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last six games against opponents that held a losing record at Citizens Bank Park.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

  • Taijuan Walker has recorded five or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 15 home appearances.
  • Alec Bohm has recorded two hits in each of the Phillies' last two home games.
  • Bryce Harper has scored at least one run in seven of his eight previous appearances with his team as a favourite against the Royals.
  • Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies' last five games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Trea Turner has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies' last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Nick Castellanos has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances against the Royals.
  • Kyle Schwarber ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (27) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 6th in the league for walks allowed this season (319).
  • The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T8th in the league for hits this season (972).
  • The Kansas City Royals ranks T29th in the league for walks this season (277).
  • The Kansas City Royals ranks 28th in the league for RBI's this season (418).

Pick

The Royals have been playing their best baseball of the season recently, but their winning streak was halted on Saturday. Kansas City is starting Zack Greinke, who has allowed 1, 4, 2, 6, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts. Philadelphia is starting Taijuan Walker, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. We have seen two high scoring games to start this series and Kansas City is scoring a ton of runs lately. On the other side, the Phillies offense should get to Greinke, who has an ERA over five. I like the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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