Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction - MLB Picks 8/6/23

Boston Red Sox (57-53) vs Toronto Blue Jays (62-50)

Game Info: Sunday, August 6, 2023 at 1:35 pm (Fenway Park)

Brennan Bernardino (1-1) (2.72) vs Chris Bassitt (10-6) (4.00)

Betting Odds: Boston Red Sox / Toronto Blue Jays --- Over/Under: Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Toronto Blue Jays will play the Boston Red Sox in Game 3 of their series on Sunday afternoon at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Toronto has won the first two games in this series by scores of 7-3 and 5-4. The Blue Jays are currently third in the AL East and are occupying the final AL Wild Card spot, while Boston is last in the division and four games out of a Wild Card berth. 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 62-50 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Prior to winning the first two games in this series, Toronto lost three out of four games at home to Baltimore. The Blue Jays have hit the ball inconsistently over the last week or so, scoring three runs or fewer in four of their last seven games. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.82 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .243 opponent batting average this season. The Blue Jays offense has scored 503 runs with a .260 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Matt Chapman is batting .256 with 15 home runs and 46 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Chris Bassitt, who is 10-6 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 132.2 innings pitched this year.

Red Sox Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 57-53 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Boston was playing very solid baseball, but they have had a rough week. The Red Sox have lost two to Toronto, two out of three to Seattle, and two out of three to San Francisco. The Boston pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, a 1.31 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 542 runs with a .263 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this year. Masataka Yoshida is batting .307 with 12 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Red Sox. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Brennan Bernardino, who is 1-1 with a 2.72 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this season.

Boston Red Sox Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox at Fenway Park.
  • The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last nine games between the Blue Jays and Red Sox.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favourites.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.

Toronto Blue Jays Team Facts

  • The Blue Jays have won each of their last nine day games against the Red Sox following a win.
  • The Blue Jays have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Blue Jays have led after 7 innings in each of their last nine day games against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Blue Jays' last seven day games against American League opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 4th in the league for batting average this season (.263).
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 5th in the league for hits this season (990).
  • The Toronto Blue Jays are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 5th in the league for batting average this season (.260).

Pick

The Blue Jays come into this game looking for the series sweep and they are 32-26 on the road this season. Boston is 30-25 at home and they are in desperate need of a win here. The Red Sox are starting Brennan Bernardino, who will operate as an opener. Boston is expected to use Chris Murphy as the primary pitcher, who has been very sharp recently. The Jays are starting Chris Bassitt, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. This should be a great game, but I am going to take Boston to avoid the sweep at home here. 

David’s Pick Red Sox ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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