Rays vs Tigers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/5/23

Detroit Tigers (48-61) vs Tampa Bay Rays (67-45)

Game Info: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 1:10 pm (Comerica Park)

Tarik Skubal (1-1) (4.57) vs Aaron Civale (5-2) (2.34)

Betting Odds: Detroit Tigers +120 / Tampa Bay Rays -145 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Tampa Bay Rays will play the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Tampa Bay won the first game in this series by a score of 8-0 on Friday night. The Rays continue to play well over their last nine games and it looks like they are out of their slump. Detroit was able to compete in the AL Central for a few months, but they have really taken a step back recently. Can the Rays make it two in a row? 

Rays Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 67-45 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Tampa Bay is coming off of a series win against the Yankees on the road, where they won two out of three games. The Rays have pitched very well in their last few games, allowing two runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.18 WHIP, and a .228 opponent batting average this year. The Rays offense has scored 581 runs with a .254 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. Isaac Paredes is batting .259 with 21 home runs and 65 RBI’s for the Rays. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Aaron Civale, who is 5-2 with a 2.34 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 77.0 innings pitched this season.

Tigers Preview

The Detroit Tigers are 48-61 this season and they have lost seven of their last nine games. Detroit is coming off of a series split with the Pirates, where they won one game and lost one game. The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.50 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 424 runs with a .231 batting average and a .298 on base percentage this season. Spencer Torkelson is batting .226 with 15 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Tigers. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 1-1 with a 4.57 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP over 21.2 innings pitched this year. 

Detroit Tigers Team Facts

  • The Tigers have lost each of their last five home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four games at Comerica Park against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games.
  • The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Tampa Bay Rays Team Facts

  • The Rays have won each of their last five games against the Tigers.
  • The Rays have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as favourites against the Tigers.
  • The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games as road favourites against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rays' last five Saturday games against American League opponents.

Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit a home run in three of his last eight home appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
  • Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in 16 of his last 17 home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Riley Greene has recorded two or more total bases in 13 of his last 15 home appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Tarik Skubal has recorded five or more strikeouts in 10 of his last 11 appearances at Comerica Park against AL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in eight of the Tigers' last 10 day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Javier Baez has scored at least one run in six of the Tigers' last seven games.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

  • Manuel Margot has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
  • Isaac Paredes has recorded two or more total bases in six of his last seven road appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Jose Siri has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favourites against AL Central opponents.
  • Harold Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances with the Rays as favourites against AL Central opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
  • Yandy Diaz ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 29th in the league for runs scored this season (424).
  • The Detroit Tigers ranks 28th in the league for hits this season (850).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (436).
  • The Tampa Bay Rays ranks 2nd in the league for steals this season (121).

Pick

Detroit didn’t put up much of a fight in Game 1 of this series and their offense completely disappeared. Tampa Bay has won all four games against Detroit this season and they have out scored them by a total of 29-3. The Tigers will turn to Tarik Skubal to try and flip the script on the Rays in this game. Skubal has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts (13.2 IP). Tampa Bay is starting Aaron Civale, who has allowed five earned runs in his last five starts (31.1 IP). Civale has dominated opposing hitters this season and I think he will have another great outing against a poor hitting Detroit team. Take the Rays here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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