Nationals vs Reds Prediction - MLB Picks 8/5/23

Cincinnati Reds (59-53) vs Washington Nationals (47-63)

Game Info: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Andrew Abbott (6-2) (2.35) vs Joan Adon (0-0) (5.40)

Betting Odds: Cincinnati Reds -218 / Washington Nationals +180 --- Over/Under: 10.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Nationals will play the Cincinnati Reds in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio. Washington won the first game in this series by a score of 6-3 in extra innings on Friday night and they have played better in recent games. Cincinnati is on a small losing streak and their pitching staff has not been good recently. Can the Reds turn it around in Game 2? 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 47-63 this season and they have won four of their last six games. Washington is coming off of a series win against the Brewers at home, where they won two out of three games. The Nationals have one of the worst team ERA’s in baseball, but they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.89 ERA, a 1.48 WHIP, and a .272 opponent batting average this year. The Nationals offense has scored 474 runs with a .259 batting average and a .317 on base percentage. Lane Thomas is batting .286 with 18 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Joan Adon, who is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this season. 

Reds Preview

The Cincinnati Reds are 59-53 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Cincinnati is coming off of a series loss to the Cubs, where they lost three out of four games on the road. The Reds have allowed a total of 52 runs in their last five games and they desperately need a good pitching performance today. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, a 1.43 WHIP, and a .262 opponent batting average. The Reds offense has scored 547 runs with a .252 batting average and a .330 on base percentage this season. Spencer Steer is batting .272 with 17 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Reds. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 6-2 with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 65.0 innings pitched this year. 

Cincinnati Reds Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Nationals and Reds at Great American Ball Park.
  • The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
  • The Reds have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
  • The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games as home favourites against National League opponents.
  • The Reds have won the first inning in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won each of the Nationals' last four games at Great American Ball Park.
  • The Nationals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Reds following a road win.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have lost the first inning in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record at Great American Ball Park.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last four games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.

Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts

  • Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds' last two games as favourites against NL East opponents.
  • TJ Friedl has recorded two hits in each of the Reds' last four day games.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded three or more total bases in each of the Reds' last four games against NL East opponents.
  • Elly De La Cruz has recorded an RBI in each of the Reds' last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Elly De La Cruz has scored a run in each of the Reds' last four games at Great American Ball Park.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has hit at least one home run in two of the Nationals' last three games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
  • CJ Abrams has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals' last six Saturday games.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last four road games against the Reds.
  • Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals' last three games as underdogs against the Reds.
  • Lane Thomas has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Reds.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks T4th in the league for triples this season (21).
  • The Cincinnati Reds ranks T27th in the league for home runs allowed this season (156).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for home runs this season (97).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (811).

Pick

The Reds come into this game on a losing streak, but they will have one of their best pitchers on the mound in this game. Cincinnati is starting Andrew Abbott, who has allowed 4, 0, 0, 2, and 6 earned runs in his last five starts. Abbott has been very solid for the Reds this season and they are 3-0 in his last three starts. Washington is starting Joan Adon, who has allowed three earned runs in five innings of work this year. Despite Abbott allowing four earned runs last time out, I like him to bounce back here and I am taking the Reds -1.5 in this game. 

David’s Pick Reds -1.5

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