Marlins vs Rangers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/5/23

Texas Rangers (64-46) vs Miami Marlins (58-53)

Game Info: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:05 pm (Globe Life Field)

Jon Gray (6-5) (3.66) vs George Soriano (0-0) (1.98)

Betting Odds: Texas Rangers / Miami Marlins --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Miami Marlins will play the Texas Rangers in Game 2 of their series on Saturday afternoon at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Texas won the first game in this series by a score of 6-2 on Friday night, which was their fourth consecutive win. Miami continues to struggle after the All-Star break and they are currently out of a Wild Card spot. 

Marlins Preview

The Miami Marlins are 58-53 this season and they have lost four of their last five games. Miami is coming off of a series loss to the Phillies, where they lost three out of four games. The Marlins have scored two runs or fewer in five of their last seven games and they are near the bottom of the MLB in runs scored this year. The Miami pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.27 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average this season. The Marlins offense has scored 452 runs with a .264 batting average and a .320 on base percentage. Jorge Soler is batting .242 with 26 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Marlins. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is George Soriano, who is 0-0 with a 1.98 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year. 

Rangers Preview

The Texas Rangers are 64-46 this season and they have won four games in a row. Texas is coming off of a series sweep of the White Sox, where they out scored Chicago by a total of 19-4 in three games. The Rangers struggled last weekend in San Diego, but they have bounced back very nicely with the four straight wins this week. The Texas pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Rangers offense has scored 633 runs with a .273 batting average and a .342 on base percentage this season. Adolis Garcia is batting .266 with 28 home runs and 88 RBI’s for the Rangers. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is Jon Gray, who is 6-5 with a 3.66 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 108.1 innings pitched this season.

Texas Rangers Team Facts

  • The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Marlins and Rangers.
  • The favourites have covered the run line in each of the Rangers' last seven games.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Rangers' last three games.
  • The Rangers have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games at Globe Life Field.
  • The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games at Globe Life Field.

Miami Marlins Team Facts

  • The Marlins have lost nine of their last 10 road games after playing the previous day.
  • The Marlins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against American League opponents following a road loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Marlins' last six day games against AL West opponents.
  • The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.

Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts

  • Adolis Garcia has hit at least one home run in each of the Rangers' last three games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
  • Mitch Garver has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Corey Seager has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL opponents.
  • Corey Seager has recorded an RBI in six of his last seven appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Adolis Garcia has scored at least one run in seven of the Rangers' last eight games as home favourites against NL East opponents.
  • Jon Gray has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against the Marlins.
  • Adolis Garcia ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.530) this season.

Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts

  • Bryan De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Marlins' last two day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his 10 previous appearances against the Rangers.
  • Avisail Garcia has recorded at least one total base in each of his last six appearances with his team as an underdog against the Rangers.
  • Avisail Garcia has recorded an RBI in four of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
  • Luis Arraez has scored a run in four of his last five road appearances against the Rangers.
  • Luis Arraez ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.422) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Texas Rangers ranks 1st in the league for batting average this season (.273).
  • The Texas Rangers ranks 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.342).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1046).
  • The Miami Marlins ranks 27th in the league for home runs this season (101).

Pick

Texas continues to battle with the Astros in the AL Central and they have been one of the best home teams in the MLB, while Miami is third in the NL East and is 24-29 on the road. The Marlins are searching for answers as they continue to fall in the National League Wild Card standings. Miami will turn to George Soriano in this game, who has allowed two earned runs in his last 12.1 innings of work. Soriano is not expected to go more than three or four innings in this game. Texas is starting Jon Gray, who has allowed 6, 0, 4, 3, and 5 earned runs in his last five starts. This Rangers lineup is very dangerous and I think they will keep the momentum going here, but I also think Miami will get to Gray. Give me the over here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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