Royals vs Phillies Prediction - MLB Picks 8/4/23

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

• The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favourites following a road win.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as home favourites against AL Central opponents following a win.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last five home games.
• The Phillies have led after 7 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as home favourites.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

• The Royals have lost each of their last 11 Friday night road games.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.
• The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last six Friday night games against National League opponents.
• The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last four games against opponents that held a winning record at Citizens Bank Park.
• The Royals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in each of the Phillies' last three games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Phillies' last five games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents.
• Aaron Nola has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favourites against AL Central opponents.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies' last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Phillies' last six games at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a losing record.
• Bryson Stott ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.301) this season.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals' last eight games against NL opponents.
• Kyle Isbel has recorded three or more total bases in four of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in two of the Royals' last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals' last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents.
• Kyle Isbel has scored at least one run in four of his last five appearances with the Royals as underdogs.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T7th in the league for doubles this season (198).
• The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 24th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1008).
• The Kansas City Royals ranks 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.297).
• The Kansas City Royals ranks 29th in the league for walks this season (271).

Pick

The Royals will bring their six game winning streak into this game and they have hit the ball very well during this winning streak. Kansas City has scored at least seven runs in four of their last six games. Philadelphia is coming off of a nice series win against the Marlins, which gave them sole possession of second place in the NL East. Kansas City is starting Jordan Lyles, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last 10 innings pitched. Philadelphia is starting Aaron Nola, who has allowed 5, 3, 2, and 4 earned runs in his last four starts. I have not been impressed by either of these starting pitchers in recent outings and I like how Kansas City has swung the bat during this winning streak. I am taking the Royals +1.5 here.