Pirates vs Brewers Prediction - MLB Picks 8/4/23

Milwaukee Brewers (59-51) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (48-60)

Game Info: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 8:10 pm (American Family Field)

Colin Rea (5-4) (4.76) vs Quinn Priester (2-1) (9.19)

Betting Odds: Milwaukee Brewers -166 / Pittsburgh Pirates +140 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 2 of their series on Friday night at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Milwaukee won the first game in this series by a score of 14-1 on Thursday night, but they have struggled over their last seven games. The Pirates had some momentum coming into this series, but that is gone after Thursday’s blowout loss. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-51 this season and they have lost five of their last seven games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series loss to the Nationals, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Brewers lost all three of their games to the Braves and were out scored by a total of 29-18. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.03 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average this year. The Brewers offense has scored 466 runs with a .234 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. William Contreras is batting .277 with 11 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Colin Rea, who is 5-4 with a 4.76 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 96.1 innings pitched this year. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 48-60 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Pittsburgh is coming off of a series split to the Tigers, where they won one game and lost one game. The Pirates are near the bottom of the NL Central, but they are over .500 in their last 13 games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.58 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .252 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 443 runs with a .236 batting average and a .312 on base percentage this year. Bryan Reynolds is batting .263 with 12 home runs and 49 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Quinn Priester, who is 2-1 with a 9.19 ERA and a 1.72 WHIP over 15.2 innings pitched this season.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five games as home favourites following a home win.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home win.
  • The Brewers have led after 7 innings in each of their last six Friday night games against the Pirates.
  • The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Friday night games against the Pirates.
  • The Brewers have led after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Team Facts

  • The Pirates have lost each of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against NL Central opponents.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against NL Central opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Pirates' last five Friday night games.
  • The Pirates have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for hits this season (846).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for doubles this season (162).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for RBI's this season (422).
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 26th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.383).

Pick

The Brewers exploded for 14 runs on Thursday night and they blew the Pirates out for the Game 1 win. Milwaukee is in a very tight race with the Reds in the NL Central and needs to take advantage of playing this Pirates team. Milwaukee is starting Colin Rea, who has allowed 5, 2, 2, 5, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts. Pittsburgh is starting Quinn Priester, who has allowed 16 earned runs over 15.2 innings of work. Priester has really struggled in all three of his outings this year and I expect Milwaukee to have another big day at the plate. Take the Brewers -1.5 here. 

David’s Pick Brewers -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.
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