Mets vs Orioles Prediction - MLB Picks 8/4/23

Baltimore Orioles (67-42) vs New York Mets (50-58)

Game Info: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Oriole Park at Camden Yards)

Dean Kremer (10-4) (4.66) vs David Peterson (3-7) (5.92)

Betting Odds: Baltimore Orioles -160 / New York Mets +147 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets and Baltimore Orioles face off on Friday in an MLB showdown at Oriole Park.

Orioles Still Underrated?

The Orioles still seem to be one of the most underrated teams in baseball, even though they sit atop one of the toughest divisions in baseball. Coming into this game the Orioles sit with a 67-42 record overall and they are coming off another series against the Toronto Blue Jays. On Thursday the Orioles were able to secure the 6-1 victory. Austin Hays finished with four hits and two RBIs. On the mound for the Orioles will be Dean Kremer who sits with a 10-4 record and an ERA of 4.66.

Orioles Betting Trends

The Orioles have won each of their last eight games as favourites against NL East opponents.
The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a road win.
The Orioles have led after 7 innings in each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
The Orioles have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last nine games as home favourites.
The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.

Mets Hit Rock Bottom

There have been a lot of lows this season for the Mets, but they have hit rock bottom. After trading away their two aces, the Mets are coming off a series loss against the Kansas City Royals. On Thursday the Mets pitching giving up nine runs and that led to the seven run defeat. The Mets are averaging 4.38 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.59 runs per game. The offense and defense are both ranked 18th. On the mound for the Mets will be David Peterson who sits with a 3-7 record and an ERA of 5.92. In his last appearance he went two innings giving up one hit and one run.

Mets Betting Trends

The Mets have lost each of their last 10 games as road underdogs following a road loss.
The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a road loss.
The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four night games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three games against the Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Orioles vs Mets Facts

The Baltimore Orioles ranks 8th in the league for RBI's this season (518).
The Baltimore Orioles ranks T8th in the league for runs scored this season (535).
The New York Mets ranks 25th in the league for hits this season (849).
The New York Mets ranks 23rd in the league for walks allowed this season (392).

Shane’s Free Pick

Peterson has had his issues this season and it’s not going to get any easier in this game. Dean Kremer has gotten plenty of run support this season and he sits with a 10-4 record overall. The Mets gave up nine runs on Thursday and they are going to give up at least that to the Orioles. Back the Orioles to win this game on the run line.