Red Sox vs Mariners Prediction - MLB Picks 8/2/23

Seattle Mariners (55-51) vs Boston Red Sox (56-50)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 2, 2023 at 4:10 pm (T-Mobile Park)

Logan Gilbert (9-5) (3.83) vs Kutter Crawford (5-5) (3.86)

Betting Odds: Seattle Mariners -141 / Boston Red Sox +110 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Boston Red Sox and Seattle Mariners face off on Wednesday in an MLB showdown at T-Mobile Park. The two teams have split the first two games of this series. 

Red Sox Slumping

The Red Sox have had a good season, but all of sudden they are slumping. Heading into Tuesday’s game, the Red Sox had lost three games in a row and during the three games they scored seven runs total. In the first game of this series the offense only scored two runs total, and they need the offense to find a way to get back on the right track here. The Red Sox are averaging 4.69 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.55 runs per game. The offense is ranked 6th in the league while the defense is ranked 18th. Justin Turner has hit 17 home runs and driven in 71 RBIs. On the mound for the Red Sox will be Kutter Crawford who sits with a 5-5 record and an ERA of 3.86. In his last start against the San Francisco Giants he went 5.2 innings giving up three hits and one run. 

Red Sox Betting Trends

  • The Red Sox have won six of their last seven games as underdogs following a win.
  • The Red Sox have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Red Sox have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games.

Every Game is Key for the Mariners

The Mariners are in the middle of the playoff race, and every single one of these games is important with how close the playoff race is here. In the first game of this series George Kirby went five innings giving up four hits and one run. The Mariners are averaging 4.54 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.16 runs per game. The offense is ranked 13th while the pitching is ranked 6th. On the mound for the Mariners will be Logan Gilbert who sits with a 9-5 record and an ERA of 3.83. In his last start against the Arizona Diamondbacks he went 6.1 innings giving up nine hits and two runs. 

Mariners Betting Trends

  • The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 games against the Red Sox following a home loss.
  • The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last five day games against American League opponents following a home loss.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mariners' last four games against American League opponents.
  • The Mariners have led after 3 innings in each of their last six day games.

Red Sox and Mariners Facts

  • The Seattle Mariners ranks T28th in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The Seattle Mariners ranks 4th in the league for ERA this season (3.82).
  • The Boston Red Sox are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and on-base percentage this season.
  • The Boston Red Sox ranks 4th in the league for batting average this season (.264).

Shane’s Free Pick

Crawford in his last start gave up only one run, and the Mariners are going to struggle to get the offense going here. Gilbert is also coming off a start where he gave up two runs, and for most of the season he has looked really good. The Red Sox’s offense has been a bit inconsistent heading into this game, and that is going to be the difference here as this game is going to be lower scoring. Back the under to cash here. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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