Twins vs Cardinals Prediction - MLB Picks 8/1/23

St. Louis Cardinals (47-60) vs Minnesota Twins (54-53)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 7:45 pm (Busch Stadium)

Miles Mikolas (6-6) (4.38) vs Pablo Lopez (5-6) (4.13)

Betting Odds: St. Louis Cardinals -108 / Minnesota Twins -102 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Minnesota Twins and St. Louis Cardinals face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at Busch Stadium. 

Twins Embarrassed by the Royals

Just when you think the Minnesota Twins have gotten it figured out, they have a week where they lost five of the six games, including three straight games against the Kansas City Royals. On Sunday the Twins offense only scored a run, and they wasted another good pitching performance. Far too often this season the Twins have had a strong pitching performance, and the offense has not given them any run support. The Twins are averaging 4.39 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.08 runs per game. On the mound for the Twins will be Pablo Lopez who sits with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 4.13. 

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have lost each of their last five games as favourites.
  • The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games.
  • The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favourites.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Twins' last three games as road favourites against National League opponents.
  • The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as road favourites.

Cardinals Falling Off

The Cardinals are falling off after three of the four games against the Chicago Cubs over the weekend. The only win came on Sunday, and the pitching was the difference in that game. Steven Matz went six innings giving up four hits and zero runs. The Cardinals are averaging 4.71 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.95 runs per game. The offense is ranked 12th while the pitching is ranked 26th. Nolan Arendo has had a strong season and he has hit 22 home runs and driven in 77 RBIs. The Cardinals are going to find offensive success here. 

Cardinals Betting Trends

  • The Cardinals have won five of their last six games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have won the first inning in each of their last three home games.
  • The Cardinals have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as home underdogs against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Cardinals' last five games at Busch Stadium.

Cardinals and Twins Facts

  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks T28th in the league for triples this season (8).
  • The St. Louis Cardinals ranks 28th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.274).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 3rd in the league for opponent batting average this season (.233).
  • The Minnesota Twins ranks 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (297).

Shane’s Free Pick

The Twins were swept by the Royals and it’s not going to get any easier in this game. Lopez hasn’t been impressive and the Twins bats really struggled in the last game. The Cardinals bats are going to have no issue running up the score against Lopez and that is going to be the difference as St. Louis gets the job done. Back the Cardinals on the money line.

Shane’s Pick Cardinals ML

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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