Mets vs Royals Prediction - MLB Picks 8/1/23

Kansas City Royals (32-75) vs New York Mets (50-55)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 8:10 pm (Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium)

Zack Greinke (1-11) (5.49) vs Jose Quintana (0-2) (3.27)

Betting Odds: Kansas City Royals +140 / New York Mets -182 --- Over/Under: 9 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The New York Mets and Kansas City Royals face off on Tuesday in an MLB showdown at Kaufmann Stadium. 

Mets Giving Up

The Mets knew they didn’t have much shot at winning much the rest of the season and that meant they were sellers at the trade deadline. The big trade was sending Max Scherzer off to the Texas Rangers. On Sunday the Mets got some good pitching giving up only two runs and that led to the three run victory. Pete Alonso finished with one hit and two RBIs. The Mets are averaging 4.44 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.53 runs per game. The offense is ranked 18th in the league while the pitching is ranked 17th. Pete Alonso has one of the bright spots hitting 30 home runs and driving in 75 RBis. 

Mets Betting Trends

  • The Mets have won each of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games against American League opponents following a win.
  • The Mets have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road favourites against American League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last four games as road favourites against AL Central opponents.
  • The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five road games against opponents that held a losing record.

Why Do the Royals Keep Sending Zack Greinke to the Mound?

The Royals don’t have many better options, but there has to be someone better in the minor leagues that could start rather than Zack Greinke who is 39 years old, and is probably in his last MLB season. On the season Greinke sits with a 1-11 record and an ERA of 5.49. In his last start against the Cleveland Guardians, he went five innings giving up four hits and four runs. The Royals are averaging 3.76 runs while their pitching is giving up 5.35 runs per game. The offense is ranked 29th while the pitching is ranked 28th. 

Royals Betting Trends

  • The Royals have lost each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a win.
  • The Royals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents.
  • The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
  • The Royals have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs.
  • The Royals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.

Mets and Royals Facts

  • The Kansas City Royals ranks 30th in the league for walks this season (262).
  • The Kansas City Royals ranks 29th in the league for RBI's this season (388).
  • The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for hits this season (827).
  • The New York Mets ranks T7th in the league for hits allowed this season (854).

Shane’s Free Pick

This Mets team isn’t good, but they at least don’t have Greinke starting for them. The Mets offense is going to have no issue running up the score against Greinke. Greinke gave up four runs in his last start and he’s going to give up even more than that here. This is going to be a victory by a couple of runs. Back the Mets on the run line. 

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

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