Brewers vs Nationals Prediction - MLB Picks 8/1/23

Washington Nationals (45-62) vs Milwaukee Brewers (57-50)

Game Info: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Josiah Gray (7-8) (3.27) vs Freddy Peralta (6-8) (4.46)

Betting Odds: Washington Nationals +130 / Milwaukee Brewers -155 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Milwaukee Brewers will play the Washington Nationals in Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at Nationals Park in Washington, DC. Washington won the first game of this series by a score of 5-3 on Monday night, which was a nice bounce back after not hitting the ball very well in their series with the Mets. 

Brewers Preview

The Milwaukee Brewers are 57-50 this season and they have lost four games in a row. Prior to losing the first game in this series, Milwaukee lost all three games in their series with the Braves. The Brewers pitching staff was roughed up in the Atlanta series and they have allowed 34 runs in their last four games. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average this season. The Brewers offense has scored 444 runs with a .233 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Christian Yelich is batting .290 with 16 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Brewers. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Freddy Peralta, who is 6-8 with a 4.46 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP over 109.0 innings pitched this year. 

Nationals Preview

The Washington Nationals are 45-62 this season and they have lost three of their last five games. Washington was able to get the win in Game 1 of this series after they lost three out of four games to the Mets. The Nationals are currently last in the NL East, but they are giving the Brewers plenty of trouble early in this series. The Washington pitching staff has a 4.93 ERA, a 1.49 WHIP, and a .275 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 461 runs with a .260 batting average and a .319 on base percentage this year. Lane Thomas is batting .287 with 16 home runs and 57 RBI’s for the Nationals. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Josiah Gray, who is 7-8 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 118.1 innings pitched this season.

Washington Nationals Team Facts

  • The Nationals have won each of their last five games as home underdogs after playing the previous day.
  • The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games against the Brewers at Nationals Park following a win.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Nationals' last four games at Nationals Park.
  • The Nationals have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Nationals have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games.

Milwaukee Brewers Team Facts

  • The home team has won each of the Brewers' last five games.
  • The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
  • The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Brewers' last three games as road favourites.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games.
  • The Brewers have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four night games.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one hit in each of the Nationals' last 15 home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • Josiah Gray has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his five previous home appearances against NL Central opponents.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Nationals' last 15 games at Nationals Park against NL opponents that held a winning record.
  • CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in seven of the Nationals' last eight night games.
  • Lane Thomas has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Nationals' last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
  • Joey Meneses has hit at least one home run in four of the Nationals' last seven games against opponents that held a winning record.

Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts

  • William Contreras has recorded two hits in each of the Brewers' last four night games.
  • Freddy Peralta has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Brewers as favourites.
  • Christian Yelich has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last seven appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
  • Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of his last nine road appearances against the Nationals.
  • Joey Wiemer has hit a home run in two of the Brewers' last three games as favourites against NL East opponents.
  • William Contreras has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for home runs this season (94).
  • The Washington Nationals ranks 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (792).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for doubles this season (155).
  • The Milwaukee Brewers ranks 27th in the league for batting average this season (.233).

Pick

The Brewers lost with Corbin Burnes on the mound on Monday, so they are going to need a solid outing from Freddy Peralta here. Washington has started to sell some of their pieces at the trade deadline, but they will have one of their better pitchers on the mound in this game. Washington is starting Josiah Gray, who has allowed one earned in his last 13 innings of work. Milwaukee is starting Freddy Peralta, who has allowed 0 earned runs in two of his last three starts, but did allow six earned runs to the Braves in the other start in that span. Both of these pitchers have been solid and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game here. Give me the under. 

David’s Pick Under 8.5

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