Phillies vs Marlins Prediction - MLB Picks 7/31/23

Miami Marlins (56-49) vs Philadelphia Phillies (56-48)

Game Info: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 6:40 pm (loanDepot park)

Edward Cabrera (5-6) (4.74) vs Taijuan Walker (11-4) (4.06)

Betting Odds: Miami Marlins -110 / Philadelphia Phillies +100 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins face off on Monday in an MLB showdown at Marlins Park. 

Phillies Continue to Win

The Phillies stats actually haven’t been that impressive this season, and are right around the middle of the road, but they have been winning games. The Phillies are averaging 4.48 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.38 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th while the pitching is ranked 15th. Bryce Harper is back from injury, but he doesn’t look 100 percent. On the season Harper has hit five home runs and driven in 30 RBIs. Harper is still one of the best players in baseball and they need him to starting hitting the ball out of the park. 

Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have won each of their last eight Monday night games against NL East opponents.

The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a winning record.

The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last six night games.

The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

Marlins continue to surprise? 

There weren’t many expectations surrounding this Marlins team heading into the season, but they have found a way to impress. The Marlins are averaging 4.08 runs while their pitching is giving up 4.29 runs per game. This offense hasn’t been good all season, but they used good pitching to find success. On the mound for the Marlins will be Edward Cabrera who sits with a 5-6 record and an ERA of 4.74. In his last start against the Rays he really struggled going only two innings giving up four hits and three runs. 

Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.

The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents.

The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.

The Marlins have led after 7 innings in each of their last four games against the Phillies at LoanDepot Park.

Marlins and Phillies Facts

The Miami Marlins ranks 28th in the league for home runs this season (95).

The Miami Marlins ranks 4th in the league for strikeouts this season (997).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks 25th in the league for strikeouts against this season (969).

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T7th in the league for home runs allowed this season (115).

Shane’s Free Pick

The Phillies are going to have no issue getting the job done in this game. Cabrera really looked bad in his last start giving up three runs in two innings, and the Phillies are going to have no issue. I expect Harper is going to hit a long ball or maybe even two off of Cabrera, and that is going to be the difference here. Back the Phillies on the run line to cash here. 

Shane’s Pick Phillies -1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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